rivomarkets

smooth.shorts

+$36.3K
Tracked Trades
942
First Seen
Mar 7, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Followers
6
Best In Golf
87% won · 23 settled · +$19.6K

smooth.shorts is a Kalshi trader with 942 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 102 wins and 182 losses on settled markets, $36.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026? on Oct 2.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
+182%
Money traded
$72.6K
Typical trade
$16
Avg entry
8¢
Kalshi rank
#76

Profit over time

+$38.0K+$0
Mar 7Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5589%38%+29 pts
20 to 40¢17526%31%+4 pts
40 to 60¢3450%92%+43 pts
60 to 80¢469%
Over 80¢5396%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $420639%+$203
$4 to $1620635%+$767
$16 to $7220635%+$7.7K
$73 to $3.1K20646%+$29.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College basketball25610%-$3.1K
Bitcoin26845%+$13.8K
NBA4732%+$9.3K
WNBA560%-$1.0K
Parlays67+$0
Golf2687%+$19.6K

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied smooth.shorts

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$43009
Profit
on $19000 staked
72-118
Record
38% win rate
+226%
Return
119 still open
Profit over time190 settled trades
+$43.0K-$1.3K
Jul 27Sep 28
-$9.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
4.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.64×
Profit factor
$54.8K won vs $11.8K lost
+25.3 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 13¢ avg
Longest losing streak
69
Deepest drawdown
132 trades

By category

crypto154 settled+298%
sports36 settled-79%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

66 open positions worth $3.3K

The markets smooth.shorts is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what smooth.shorts is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?
Oct 2, 43 fills
Sold Yessold 29¢$5.3KExited
Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?
Oct 2, 58 fills
No10¢$1.8K+$16.2K
Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?
Oct 2, 20 fills
No16¢$1.1K-$1.1K
See every position across 153 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?
    $1.8K on No at 10¢, Oct 2
    +$16.2K
  2. 2
    Will Akshay Bhatia win the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
    $940 on Yes at 8¢, Mar 8
    +$11.3K
  3. 3
    Will Cameron Young win the THE PLAYERS Championship?
    $1.0K on Yes at 11¢, Mar 15
    +$8.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?14¢16971%+$15.1K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?10¢838%-$1.2K
Indiana wins13¢260%-$969
Cornell at Yale: Total Points42¢16+$0
Los Angeles C at San Antonio Winner?21¢975%+$5.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$25.5K
Aug 2026-$244
Sep 2026-$141
Oct 2026+$12.8K

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