rivomarkets

strict.rule

-$73
Tracked Trades
737
First Seen
Mar 30, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In NFL
43% won · 21 settled · +$960

strict.rule is a Kalshi trader with 737 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 112 wins and 147 losses on settled markets, -$73 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points? on Sep 28.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$34.9K
Typical trade
$24
Avg entry
27¢
Kalshi rank
#3,889

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$797
Mar 30Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1809%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢14330%20%-10 pts
40 to 60¢34649%56%+8 pts
60 to 80¢4667%36%-31 pts
Over 80¢2288%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $818553%+$80
$8 to $2418434%-$179
$24 to $6218434%-$626
$62 to $1.0K18451%+$652

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NBA34349%+$97
Baseball22850%-$201
Parlays1060%-$984
NFL2543%+$960
College football2639%+$23
College basketball4100%+$104

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied strict.rule

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2737
Profit
on $11500 staked
45-70
Record
39% win rate
-24%
Return
15 still open
Profit over time115 settled trades
+$0-$2.8K
Sep 14Sep 28
-$4.2K
Max drawdown
325% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.61×
Profit factor
$4.3K won vs $7.0K lost
-2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 42¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
64 trades

By category

other114 settled-25%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $282

The markets strict.rule is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what strict.rule is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points?
Sep 28
No52¢$677+$625
Baltimore wins
Sep 27
Yes50¢$193+$193
yes Denver,yes New Orleans,yes Minnesota
Sep 27
Yes24¢$95-$95
See every position across 389 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points?
    $677 on No at 52¢, Sep 28
    +$625
  2. 2
    Texas wins by over 7.5 points
    $374 on No at 52¢, Sep 26
    +$344
  3. 3
    LSU wins by over 9.5 points
    $285 on Yes at 49¢, Sep 26
    +$297
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Game 3: Detroit at Orlando: Total Points40¢2229%+$53
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions1+$0
Game 1: Orlando at Detroit Winner?55¢80%-$578
San Antonio wins by over 14.5 points?40¢30%-$383
LA Rams wins by over 3.5 points?52¢1100%+$625

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$59
Apr 2026-$246
Sep 2026+$114

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