tight.stair
+$130
- Tracked Trades
- 170
- First Seen
- Jan 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 7, 2026
- Best In Soccer
- 81% won · 21 settled · +$260
tight.stair is a Kalshi trader with 170 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 26 wins and 15 losses on settled markets, $130 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will over 1.5 goals be scored? on Oct 7.
- Win rate
- 63%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $25.9K
- Typical trade
- $97
- Avg entry
- 55¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,169
Profit over time
+$408-$1.9K
Jan 10Oct 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢412%
20 to 40¢2432%17%-16 pts
40 to 60¢4449%57%+8 pts
60 to 80¢6168%59%-10 pts
Over 80¢3788%100%+12 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $314382%+$33
$31 to $974357%-$56
$97 to $1974244%-$238
$198 to $1.0K4264%+$391
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays6643%-$290
Soccer6181%+$260
Hockey1025%+$467
NBA4+$0
College basketball9+$0
Tennis867%-$177
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied tight.stair
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$186
Profit
on $2200 staked
14-8
Record
64% win rate
-8%
Return
8 still open
+$0-$360
Sep 28Oct 5
-$664
Max drawdown
475% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.77×
Profit factor
$614 won vs $800 lost
+0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 63¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 9 trades
By category
sports20 settled-8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
8 open positions worth $964
The markets tight.stair is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
Oct 7
New York R wins
Oct 6
yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 6
Biggest wins
- 1+$685yes Tyler Shough: 200+,yes Drake London: 3+,yes Chris Olave: 50+,yes Devaughn Vele: 25+,yes Juwan Johnson: 25+,yes Bijan Robinson: 50+,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$382 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 6
- 2+$668New York R wins$1.0K on Yes at 60¢, Oct 6
- 3+$448yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$582 on Yes at 56¢, Oct 6
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?89¢3100%+$219
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points41¢250%-$66
New York R wins60¢1100%+$668
LeBron James: 1+ steals72¢2+$0
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?76¢250%-$31
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 10Oct 7
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$26
Feb 2026-$271
Sep 2026+$27
Oct 2026+$400
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