unfortunate.magpie
+$685
- Tracked Trades
- 458
- First Seen
- Jan 25, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Followers
- 11
- Best In College football
- 56% won · 59 settled · +$810
unfortunate.magpie is a Kalshi trader with 458 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 54 losses on settled markets, $685 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Troy wins on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- +14%
- Money traded
- $13.4K
- Typical trade
- $10
- Avg entry
- 47¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,400
Profit over time
+$685-$546
Jan 25Oct 6
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3114%0%-14 pts
20 to 40¢15632%37%+4 pts
40 to 60¢14550%76%+26 pts
60 to 80¢9269%47%-22 pts
Over 80¢3489%67%-22 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $311548%+$2
$3 to $1011548%-$28
$10 to $2511460%+$201
$25 to $1.2K11453%+$510
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football15156%+$810
Esports15933%-$107
Baseball6011%-$274
Soccer9+$0
NFL220%-$123
NBA467%+$169
Side taken
Yes 53%47% No
If you had copied unfortunate.magpie
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2661
Profit
on $10300 staked
57-46
Record
55% win rate
+26%
Return
218 still open
+$2.7K-$26
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
196% below peak
2.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.58×
Profit factor
$7.3K won vs $4.6K lost
+11.6 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 44¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 12 trades
By category
crypto5 settled+122%
sports97 settled+21%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
72 open positions worth $5.2K
The markets unfortunate.magpie is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Troy wins
Oct 6, 2 fills
Los Angeles L wins
Oct 5
Over 56.5 points scored
Oct 4, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$544Over 56.5 points scored$287 on No at 35¢, Oct 4
- 2+$500Troy wins$1.8K on Yes at 78¢, Oct 6
- 3+$201Georgia St. wins by over 13.5 points$96 on Yes at 32¢, Sep 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT06USMTROY-TROY78¢1100%+$325
England wins by more than 1.5 goals?85¢1+$0
Troy wins78¢1100%+$175
CHI Bears wins by over 5.5 points?15¢60%-$76
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?90¢3+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$38
Mar 2026+$0
Apr 2026-$68
May 2026-$9
Aug 2026-$175
Sep 2026-$60
Oct 2026+$1.0K
Similar Kalshi traders
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