unlikely.mandrill0986
+$993
- Tracked Trades
- 225
- First Seen
- Jul 6, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In Parlays
- 24% won · 51 settled · +$989
unlikely.mandrill0986 is a Kalshi trader with 225 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 18 wins and 44 losses on settled markets, $993 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- +188%
- Money traded
- $4.1K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Avg entry
- 2¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,728
Profit over time
+$1.0K-$128
Aug 29Sep 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1135%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢3229%60%+31 pts
40 to 60¢3850%31%-19 pts
60 to 80¢2369%71%+3 pts
Over 80¢1991%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $25713%-$12
$2 to $55619%-$29
$5 to $115629%+$1.1K
$11 to $1.0K5653%-$100
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays20424%+$989
Baseball957%+$10
Tennis350%-$5
WNBA5+$0
College football250%-$1
NFL1+$0
Side taken
Yes 76%24% No
If you had copied unlikely.mandrill0986
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$18166
Profit
on $6200 staked
18-44
Record
29% win rate
+293%
Return
111 still open
+$18.2K-$558
Jul 6Sep 14
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
10.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
5.13×
Profit factor
$22.6K won vs $4.4K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
29% won at 30¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 48 trades
By category
other62 settled+293%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
106 open positions worth $938
The markets unlikely.mandrill0986 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 27
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Sep 20
yes North Alabama,yes BYU,yes Southeast Missouri St.,yes Northwestern,yes UConn,yes Dayton,yes South Florida,yes East Carolina,yes Washington,yes Florida Atlantic,yes Florida,yes Fordham,yes Georgia Southern,yes Georgia St.,yes Incarnate Word,yes Tennessee,yes Ole Miss,yes Western Illinois,yes Morgan St.,yes Tarleton St.,yes Marshall,yes Mississippi St.,yes Notre Dame,yes Oklahoma St.,yes Campbell,yes Gardner-Webb,yes Nevada,yes Sam Houston,yes Weber St.,yes South Alabama,yes Austin Peay,yes South Carolina St.,yes Elon,yes Tennessee St.,yes Missouri,yes Louisiana,yes Nebraska,yes San Diego,yes Memphis,yes Texas,yes Virginia Tech,yes Western Michigan,yes Chattanooga,yes West Virginia,yes South Dakota St.
Sep 20
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.2Kyes Brighton,yes Everton,yes Newcastle,yes Tampa Bay,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Pittsburgh,yes Chicago WS,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D,yes Delaware,yes Clemson,yes Central Michigan wins by over 1.5 points,yes Joanderson Brito,yes Casey O'Neill,yes Edmen Shahbazyan,yes Atlanta,yes Dallas$6 on Yes at 0¢, Sep 19
- 2+$24yes Detroit,yes Miami,yes Milwaukee$17 on Yes at 42¢, Sep 3
- 3+$23Texas wins$10 on Yes at 29¢, Sep 6
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille2+$0
yes Minnesota,yes New York Y,yes Tampa Bay,yes Arizona,yes Chicago C,yes Pittsburgh,yes Texas,yes St. Louis,yes Cincinnati4¢2+$0
yes Tampa Bay,yes Cincinnati,yes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes Baltimore,yes Chicago C,yes Boston,yes Houston,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles A,yes Arizona1¢2+$0
yes Morehead St.,yes UMass37¢6+$0
yes Oregon,yes The Citadel,yes North Dakota St.,yes Tennessee,yes Appalachian St.,yes Iowa,yes Navy,yes Texas,yes Arkansas,yes North Dakota,yes UTSA10¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$19
Sep 2026+$1.0K
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