rivomarkets

warm.car

+$5.4K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Apr 26, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Baseball
43% won · 53 settled · +$2.0K

warm.car is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 67 wins and 51 losses on settled markets, $5.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXWNBASPREAD-26OCT02DALGS-DAL2 on Oct 2.

Win rate
57%
Return on settled
+26%
Money traded
$94.3K
Typical trade
$19
Avg entry
33¢
Kalshi rank
#1,078

Profit over time

+$5.4K-$913
Apr 26Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢939%18%+9 pts
20 to 40¢20131%60%+29 pts
40 to 60¢36550%46%-4 pts
60 to 80¢29367%75%+8 pts
Over 80¢4886%100%+14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425057%-$2
$4 to $1925033%-$69
$19 to $9325043%+$182
$93 to $1.5K25068%+$5.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays147100%+$695
Baseball30243%+$2.0K
Tennis8695%+$1.8K
NBA4363%+$1.9K
Soccer2333%-$1.2K
Weather284+$0

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied warm.car

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3087
Profit
on $2700 staked
22-5
Record
81% win rate
+114%
Return
246 still open
Profit over time27 settled trades
+$3.1K-$100
Jul 6Sep 28
-$400
Max drawdown
45% below peak
7.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
7.17×
Profit factor
$3.6K won vs $500 lost
+33.1 pts
Edge vs implied
81% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

sports25 settled+121%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

80 open positions worth $21.4K

The markets warm.car is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what warm.car is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXWNBASPREAD-26OCT02DALGS-DAL2
Oct 2
No77¢$590+$176
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?
Oct 1
No64¢$1.3K+$756
yes Philadelphia,yes New York Y
Sep 30
Yes26¢$38+$109
See every position across 348 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?
    $1.5K on Yes at 42¢, Jun 14
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?
    $1.3K on No at 64¢, Oct 1
    +$756
  3. 3
    Will Matteo Arnaldi win the Tiafoe vs Arnaldi: Round Of 16 match?
    $484 on Yes at 39¢, Jun 1
    +$745
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Kansas City vs Minnesota Total Runs?69¢6+$0
Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?42¢7100%+$2.0K
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?61¢2100%+$953
no Chicago WS wins by over 2.5 runs,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored53¢1+$0
no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored61¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$397
May 2026-$225
Jun 2026+$3.4K
Jul 2026+$436
Aug 2026+$324
Sep 2026+$953
Oct 2026+$932

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