rivomarkets
Kalshi

zeroth.firefly7715

-$107
Tracked Trades
744
First Seen
Jun 13, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 8, 2026
Best In Cricket
98% won · 49 settled · +$5.1K

zeroth.firefly7715 is a Kalshi trader with 744 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 62 wins and 56 losses on settled markets, -$107 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Mariano Navone,yes Yunchaokete Bu,yes Matteo Arnaldi,yes Cameron Norrie,yes Chicago WS,yes Dallas,yes Montreal,yes Ottawa,yes India A on Oct 8.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$72.8K
Typical trade
$46
Avg entry
1¢
Kalshi rank
#4,710

Profit over time

+$773-$5.2K
Jun 13Oct 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5423%0%-3 pts
20 to 40¢5328%39%+12 pts
40 to 60¢6551%42%-9 pts
60 to 80¢666%
Over 80¢1495%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1317050%-$11
$13 to $4617010%-$230
$46 to $9317013%-$534
$93 to $12K17016%-$4.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays4500%-$522
Soccer16837%-$1.8K
Baseball5011%-$2.9K
MMA433%+$209
WNBA40%-$235
Tennis4+$0

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied zeroth.firefly7715

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2000
Profit
on $5200 staked
10-42
Record
19% win rate
-38%
Return
409 still open
Profit over time52 settled trades
+$0-$2.0K
Jul 6Oct 5
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.52×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $4.2K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
19% won at 19¢ avg
Longest losing streak
19
Deepest drawdown
52 trades

By category

sports52 settled-38%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

349 open positions worth $21.7K

The markets zeroth.firefly7715 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what zeroth.firefly7715 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Los Angeles D,yes New York Y,yes Milwaukee,yes Colorado,yes Anaheim,yes Washington,yes Las Vegas,yes New York
Oct 7, 2 fills
Yes1¢$159-$159
yes Mexico,yes San Diego,yes New York Y,yes Denver,yes Golden State,yes Los Angeles,yes Vegas
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 98¢$4.1KExited
yes Denver,yes Golden State,yes Oklahoma City,yes Florida,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Vegas
Oct 7
Sold Nosold 99¢$5.3KExited
See every position across 490 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
    $135 on Yes at 21¢, Jun 15
    +$506
  2. 2
    Philadelphia wins
    $289 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 18
    +$353
  3. 3
    Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance
    $241 on Yes at 49¢, Jun 30
    +$251
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Los Angeles D,yes San Diego,yes Carolina,yes Florida,yes Buffalo,yes Toronto,yes New York R,yes New Jersey1¢2+$0
yes Denver,yes Golden State,yes Oklahoma City,yes Florida,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Vegas1¢2+$0
yes Mexico,yes San Diego,yes New York Y,yes Denver,yes Golden State,yes Los Angeles,yes Vegas2¢2+$0
yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes New Orleans,yes Minnesota,yes Over 42.5 points3¢2+$0
Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance6¢3+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 11Oct 8

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$443
Jul 2026-$1.3K
Aug 2026-$1.7K
Sep 2026-$2.1K
Oct 2026-$514

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