rivomarkets

thursdays

0x04dcbd9b805b220a9b2d27e4d9e649ed07902387

+$2.8K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jun 22, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
61% won · 31 settled · +$3.1K

thursdays is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 100 wins and 76 losses on settled markets, $2.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? on Sep 30.

Win rate
57%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$64.6K
Typical trade
$29
Avg entry
45¢
Polymarket rank
#2,372

Profit over time

+$3.0K-$842
Jun 26Sep 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2428%24%+16 pts
20 to 40¢16429%55%+25 pts
40 to 60¢18449%40%-9 pts
60 to 80¢20969%81%+12 pts
Over 80¢19189%83%-6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $824836%+$30
$8 to $2924854%+$664
$29 to $8124760%+$521
$81 to $1.0K24767%+$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Economic data32154%-$1.3K
Entertainment21068%+$617
Companies13143%+$468
US elections750%-$1
Fed and rates6561%+$3.1K
World politics5760%+$192

Side taken

Yes 49%51% No

If you had copied thursdays

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$5285
Profit
on $17500 staked
99-76
Record
57% win rate
+30%
Return
692 still open
Profit over time175 settled trades
+$5.9K-$164
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
18% below peak
4.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.70×
Profit factor
$12.9K won vs $7.6K lost
+4.8 pts
Edge vs implied
57% won at 52¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
31 trades

By category

finance113 settled+45%
politics9 settled+13%
culture50 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

379 open positions worth $39.8K

The markets thursdays is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thursdays is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Sep 30
Yes57¢$22Open
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Sep 30
Yes36¢$6Open
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?
Sep 30, 6 fills
No31¢sold 27¢$20Reduced
See every position across 483 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $636 on No at 31¢, Sep 5
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
    $194 on No at 13¢, Sep 9
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $995 on Yes at 47¢, Sep 9
    +$1.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?83¢8100%+$305
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?66¢5+$0
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?58¢80%-$1.4K
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?69¢9+$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?47¢888%+$1.0K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$4
Aug 2026+$68
Sep 2026+$2.7K

Similar Polymarket traders

Build a bot that copies thursdays.

Bring thursdays into the builder and test their record at your size. Run a paper bot to follow new trades. Enable trader alerts independently to keep up through Telegram and the app. Place supported manual trades through your connected wallet.