rivomarkets

BlackSugar.

0x6d8745c21229356d19fb76d5f5d2f93d3b8c4f67

+$102
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Aug 7, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Other politics
57% won · 14 settled · +$104

BlackSugar. is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 51 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $102 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? on Sep 30.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$15.4K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
74¢
Polymarket rank
#2,461

Profit over time

+$224-$118
Aug 7Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6110%17%+6 pts
20 to 40¢4029%50%+21 pts
40 to 60¢5751%57%+6 pts
60 to 80¢40073%75%+2 pts
Over 80¢42688%94%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $524671%+$10
$5 to $5246+$0
$5 to $524638%-$13
$5 to $32524675%+$156

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin43873%+$24
Other politics2757%+$104
XRP146+$0
Solana142+$0
Ethereum128+$0
Other crypto100+$0

Side taken

Yes 3%97% No

If you had copied BlackSugar.

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$629
Profit
on $6300 staked
44-19
Record
70% win rate
+10%
Return
781 still open
Profit over time63 settled trades
+$629-$493
Aug 3Sep 28
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.33×
Profit factor
$2.5K won vs $1.9K lost
+3.6 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
27 trades

By category

politics15 settled+73%
crypto48 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

617 open positions worth $9.5K

The markets BlackSugar. is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what BlackSugar. is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
Sep 30
No27¢$21-$21
Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026?
Sep 30
Yes45¢$50-$50
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
Sep 30, 4 fills
Yes16¢sold 53¢$33+$181
See every position across 694 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?
    $33 on Yes at 16¢, Sep 28
    +$181
  2. 2
    Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?
    $186 on No at 81¢, Sep 25
    +$45
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
    $70 on Yes at 69¢, Aug 30
    +$31
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026?68¢450%+$35
Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026?19¢575%+$160
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET99¢1100%+$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET99¢1+$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET99¢1100%+$3

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$14
Sep 2026+$168

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