545963
0x6edfbe1379ac9e745824a70b37c31e20a0c11011
+$697
- Tracked Trades
- 519
- First Seen
- Apr 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 2, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 73% won · 237 settled · +$697
545963 is a Polymarket trader with 519 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 172 wins and 65 losses on settled markets, $697 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET on Oct 2.
- Win rate
- 73%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $157.3K
- Typical trade
- $61
- Avg entry
- 24¢
- Polymarket rank
- #2,261
Profit over time
+$857-$361
Sep 19Oct 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢784%13%+8 pts
20 to 40¢3929%7%-23 pts
40 to 60¢6253%41%-13 pts
60 to 80¢9772%71%-2 pts
Over 80¢15593%85%-8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1510850%-$70
$15 to $6110838%-$579
$61 to $10010884%+$36
$100 to $35K10788%+$557
Categories
TradesWonProfit
World politics102+$0
Bitcoin22763%-$55
Mentions91+$0
Weather7+$0
Entertainment2+$0
Tech and AI1+$0
Side taken
Yes 29%71% No
If you had copied 545963
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2461
Profit
on $15200 staked
95-57
Record
63% win rate
-16%
Return
23 still open
+$574-$2.5K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
429% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$3.2K won vs $5.7K lost
-7.1 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 70¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 24
- Deepest drawdown
- 113 trades
By category
crypto152 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
12 open positions worth $1.7K
The markets 545963 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Oct 2, 5 fills
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Oct 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Oct 2, 6 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$629Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$3.3K on Up at 84¢, Sep 27
- 2+$269Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$731 on Up at 73¢, Sep 27
- 3+$266Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$234 on Down at 47¢, Sep 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?28¢25+$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?7¢7+$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?10¢64+$0
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?85¢72+$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?99¢1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 5Oct 2
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$91
Oct 2026+$36
How they build positions
Trimmed a position100%
Similar Polymarket traders
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