rivomarkets

545963

0x6edfbe1379ac9e745824a70b37c31e20a0c11011

+$697
Tracked Trades
519
First Seen
Apr 7, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
73% won · 237 settled · +$697

545963 is a Polymarket trader with 519 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 172 wins and 65 losses on settled markets, $697 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET on Oct 2.

Win rate
73%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$157.3K
Typical trade
$61
Avg entry
24¢
Polymarket rank
#2,261

Profit over time

+$857-$361
Sep 19Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢784%13%+8 pts
20 to 40¢3929%7%-23 pts
40 to 60¢6253%41%-13 pts
60 to 80¢9772%71%-2 pts
Over 80¢15593%85%-8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1510850%-$70
$15 to $6110838%-$579
$61 to $10010884%+$36
$100 to $35K10788%+$557

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics102+$0
Bitcoin22763%-$55
Mentions91+$0
Weather7+$0
Entertainment2+$0
Tech and AI1+$0

Side taken

Yes 29%71% No

If you had copied 545963

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2461
Profit
on $15200 staked
95-57
Record
63% win rate
-16%
Return
23 still open
Profit over time152 settled trades
+$574-$2.5K
Jul 6Sep 28
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
429% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$3.2K won vs $5.7K lost
-7.1 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 70¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
113 trades

By category

crypto152 settled-16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $1.7K

The markets 545963 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 545963 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Oct 2, 5 fills
Down97¢$546+$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Oct 2
Down96¢$96+$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Oct 2, 6 fills
Down88¢$53+$8
See every position across 72 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
    $3.3K on Up at 84¢, Sep 27
    +$629
  2. 2
    Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
    $731 on Up at 73¢, Sep 27
    +$269
  3. 3
    Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
    $234 on Down at 47¢, Sep 19
    +$266
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?28¢25+$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?7¢7+$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?10¢64+$0
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?85¢72+$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?99¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$91
Oct 2026+$36

How they build positions

Trimmed a position100%

Similar Polymarket traders

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