rivomarkets

wisechinaman

0xdec2a6879cf654e6bc2c0e125f65b2fa3e27b015

+$723
Tracked Trades
985
First Seen
Apr 6, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In World politics
70% won · 23 settled · +$763

wisechinaman is a Polymarket trader with 985 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 58 wins and 42 losses on settled markets, $723 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? on Sep 30.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$104.5K
Typical trade
$32
Avg entry
46¢
Polymarket rank
#2,630

Profit over time

+$723-$838
Jul 10Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2447%16%+8 pts
20 to 40¢13129%45%+16 pts
40 to 60¢8050%39%-11 pts
60 to 80¢8671%67%-4 pts
Over 80¢44495%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1024742%-$25
$10 to $3224648%+$235
$33 to $9924667%+$12
$99 to $3.8K24683%+$501

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics24670%+$763
Mentions2470%-$18
US politics17573%+$286
Soccer56+$0
Bitcoin130%-$95
Entertainment7714%-$260

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied wisechinaman

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1134
Profit
on $10000 staked
58-42
Record
58% win rate
+11%
Return
197 still open
Profit over time100 settled trades
+$1.2K-$1.6K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
3619% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.27×
Profit factor
$5.3K won vs $4.2K lost
+4.8 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
65 trades

By category

politics57 settled+29%
culture16 settled+13%
crypto7 settled-5%
sports16 settled-27%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

74 open positions worth $8.1K

The markets wisechinaman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what wisechinaman is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?
Sep 30, 13 fills
Yes76¢sold 100¢$654Exited
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
Sep 30, 6 fills
Yes19¢sold 4¢$95-$95
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Sep 30
Yes30¢$30+$70
See every position across 429 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 23, 2026? (copy) (copy)
    $284 on Yes at 40¢, Sep 19
    +$417
  2. 2
    Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?
    $147 on Yes at 27¢, Sep 2
    +$405
  3. 3
    Trump renames AI by September 30?
    $131 on Yes at 27¢, Sep 25
    +$354
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?99¢6+$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?43¢6+$0
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?100¢4+$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?99¢2+$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?94¢8+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$39
Aug 2026-$395
Sep 2026+$1.2K

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