rivomarkets

Lucas221

0xebed2bb89ba2826df60e0b088cdd048924b07d9c

+$184
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Apr 29, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Weather
44% won · 34 settled · +$249

Lucas221 is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 15 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $184 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1? on Oct 1.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$10.4K
Typical trade
$4
Avg entry
23¢
Polymarket rank
#2,359

Profit over time

+$394-$87
Aug 2Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4329%22%+14 pts
20 to 40¢20728%50%+22 pts
40 to 60¢10650%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢7871%33%-37 pts
Over 80¢17492%56%-36 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1250100%+$4
$1 to $42490%-$11
$4 to $1124922%+$39
$11 to $29124958%+$134

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather81044%+$230
Bitcoin168+$0
Cricket12+$0
Soccer2+$0
Commodities20%-$65
Entertainment1+$0

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied Lucas221

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$871
Profit
on $3300 staked
14-19
Record
42% win rate
+26%
Return
323 still open
Profit over time33 settled trades
+$1.4K-$100
Jun 29Sep 28
-$857
Max drawdown
50% below peak
1.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.46×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $1.9K lost
-2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
11 trades

By category

culture32 settled+30%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

77 open positions worth $2.3K

The markets Lucas221 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Lucas221 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 1?
Oct 1
Yes0¢$3-$3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 1?
Oct 1
Yes87¢$73+$10
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 1?
Oct 1, 2 fills
No78¢sold 97¢$31+$9
See every position across 436 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 29?
    $55 on Yes at 22¢, Sep 29
    +$195
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28?
    $107 on Yes at 37¢, Sep 28
    +$179
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 3?
    $20 on Yes at 19¢, Sep 3
    +$86
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 5?19¢4+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 29?92¢2100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?84¢4+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?1+$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?28¢4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$87
Sep 2026+$245
Oct 2026+$8

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