rivomarkets

stefan168

0xf4362f4784eec9e5e3ba93b0b90da08017624591

+$1.8K
Tracked Trades
221
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Soccer
76% won · 208 settled · +$1.8K

stefan168 is a Polymarket trader with 221 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 158 wins and 50 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01? on Oct 2.

Win rate
76%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$326.1K
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
74¢
Polymarket rank
#2,155

Profit over time

+$15.0K-$8.0K
Aug 22Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢1231%0%-31 pts
40 to 60¢3952%60%+8 pts
60 to 80¢6572%75%+3 pts
Over 80¢10587%86%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $7805659%-$5.4K
$794 to $1.0K5587%+$7.5K
$1.0K to $1.8K5575%+$2.0K
$2.0K to $7.9K5581%-$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer22176%+$1.8K

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied stefan168

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$17
Profit
on $20800 staked
158-50
Record
76% win rate
-0%
Return
Profit over time208 settled trades
+$1.2K-$274
Aug 17Sep 28
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
153% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
1.00×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $5.0K lost
+0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
76% won at 75¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
65 trades

By category

culture123 settled+8%
sports80 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?
Oct 2, 2 fills
Yes61¢$5.7K+$3.6K
Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein: O/U 1.5
Oct 1, 2 fills
Under47¢$1.0K+$1.1K
Will Sri Lanka win on 2026-09-30?
Sep 30, 2 fills
Yes48¢$1.2K+$1.3K
See every position across 81 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    FC Twente vs. PSV: O/U 3.5
    $7.2K on Over at 56¢, Sep 20
    +$5.7K
  2. 2
    Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?
    $12.1K on Yes at 72¢, Sep 6
    +$4.8K
  3. 3
    Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-10-01?
    $5.7K on Yes at 61¢, Oct 2
    +$3.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?92¢4100%+$1.5K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?72¢6100%+$4.8K
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-09-12?90¢5100%+$1.3K
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)85¢4100%+$2.0K
FC Twente vs. PSV: O/U 3.556¢7100%+$5.7K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$999
Sep 2026-$2.0K
Oct 2026+$4.7K

How they build positions

Opened a new position40%
Added to a position29%
Closed a position26%
Trimmed a position5%

Similar Polymarket traders

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