rivomarkets
Kalshi

aarono926

-$972
Tracked Trades
599
First Seen
Sep 28, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 4, 2026
Followers
8
Best In NFL
19% won · 16 settled · +$810

aarono926 is a Kalshi trader with 599 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 44 losses on settled markets, -$972 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions on Oct 4.

Win rate
8%
Return on settled
-27%
Money traded
$74.2K
Typical trade
$46
Avg entry
7¢
Kalshi rank
#5,063

Profit over time

+$101-$1.6K
Oct 9Oct 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5127%3%-3 pts
20 to 40¢6227%20%-7 pts
40 to 60¢947%
60 to 80¢1067%0%-67 pts
Over 80¢687%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $141500%-$111
$14 to $461500%-$310
$46 to $1181509%-$439
$118 to $5.8K14925%-$111

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays4740%-$761
NFL5319%+$810
MMA2417%-$656
NBA270%-$364
Boxing5+$0
Baseball40%-$1

Side taken

Yes 97%3% No

If you had copied aarono926

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1133
Profit
on $2800 staked
3-25
Record
11% win rate
-40%
Return
67 still open
Profit over time28 settled trades
+$367-$1.1K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
343% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.55×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $2.5K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
11% won at 10¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
16 trades

By category

sports28 settled-40%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

64 open positions worth $4.4K

The markets aarono926 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what aarono926 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
Oct 4
Sold Nosold 89¢$1.8KExited
yes Tucker Kraft: 1+,yes Brenton Strange: 1+
Oct 4
Yes6¢$80-$80
yes Courtland Sutton: 1+,yes T.J. Hockenson: 1+,yes Mack Hollins: 1+
Oct 4, 2 fills
Yes2¢$51-$51
See every position across 482 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Dawson Knox: 1+ touchdowns
    $165 on Yes at 14¢, Sep 16
    +$1.0K
  2. 2
    Isaiah Likely: 1+ touchdowns
    $213 on Yes at 21¢, Sep 13
    +$802
  3. 3
    Will Sean Strickland win the Strickland vs Hernandez professional MMA fight scheduled for Feb 21, 2026?
    $120 on Yes at 30¢, Feb 22
    +$280
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Emeka Egbuka,yes Keenan Allen11¢3+$0
yes Lamar Jackson,yes Cooper Kupp5¢2+$0
yes Ja'Marr Chase,yes Rashee Rice,no Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points,no Dallas wins by over 3.5 points17¢2+$0
New York G at New England: Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Jaxson Dart27¢2+$0
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 7Oct 4

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$2
Dec 2025-$185
Jan 2026-$475
Feb 2026-$221
Mar 2026-$219
Sep 2026+$801
Oct 2026-$670

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