michael.nast
-$988
- Tracked Trades
- 276
- First Seen
- Oct 19, 2025
- Last Trade
- Sep 27, 2026
michael.nast is a Kalshi trader with 276 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 37 losses on settled markets, -$988 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: DAL Cowboys wins by over 5.5 points? on Sep 27.
- Win rate
- 26%
- Return on settled
- -24%
- Money traded
- $41.4K
- Typical trade
- $48
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,029
Profit over time
+$687-$1.4K
Oct 24Sep 27
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢10410%18%+8 pts
20 to 40¢7229%13%-16 pts
40 to 60¢4547%44%-3 pts
60 to 80¢2767%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢2888%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $18690%-$63
$18 to $486933%+$308
$48 to $101690%-$282
$103 to $5.4K6946%-$951
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL12123%-$655
Parlays690%-$236
College football6533%-$225
MMA11+$0
NBA5100%+$128
Soccer4+$0
Side taken
Yes 78%22% No
If you had copied michael.nast
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$891
Profit
on $2200 staked
6-16
Record
27% win rate
-40%
Return
1 still open
+$0-$891
Sep 7Sep 21
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
388% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.44×
Profit factor
$709 won vs $1.6K lost
-7.6 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 35¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 12 trades
By category
other22 settled-40%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $1
The markets michael.nast is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
DAL Cowboys wins by over 5.5 points?
Sep 27, 8 fills
DAL Cowboys wins by over 2.5 points?
Sep 27, 4 fills
DAL Cowboys wins by over 2.5 points?
Sep 27, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$554BAL Ravens wins by over 5.5 points?$472 on No at 46¢, Sep 27
- 2+$518Sam Houston at Oregon St. Winner?$85 on Yes at 14¢, Nov 9
- 3+$246Kansas City at Buffalo Winner?$236 on Yes at 49¢, Nov 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Pro Football NFC Championship Winner?3¢11+$0
Dallas at Detroit Winner?24¢50%-$1.2K
Indiana at Ohio St.: Total Points25¢19+$0
Ohio St. wins by over 10.5 points?30¢6+$0
Detroit wins by over 7.5 points?57¢5+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 30Sep 27
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$47
Nov 2025+$239
Dec 2025-$1.3K
Sep 2026+$106
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