rivomarkets

man.waist

+$3.0K
Tracked Trades
1,007
First Seen
Feb 1, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 7, 2026
Best In Parlays
76% won · 21 settled · +$4.4K

man.waist is a Kalshi trader with 1,007 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 102 wins and 75 losses on settled markets, $3.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 7.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$174.7K
Typical trade
$96
Avg entry
61¢
Kalshi rank
#1,773

Profit over time

+$3.0K-$3.2K
Feb 1Oct 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2411%
20 to 40¢6132%0%-32 pts
40 to 60¢38050%41%-9 pts
60 to 80¢23969%80%+11 pts
Over 80¢29890%69%-22 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2125136%-$69
$21 to $9625163%-$124
$96 to $24025056%-$839
$241 to $1.9K25071%+$4.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays22876%+$4.4K
College basketball39953%-$971
Baseball18472%+$107
NBA6068%-$1.7K
College football4227%+$1.2K
NFL1767%-$279

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied man.waist

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1340
Profit
on $7100 staked
35-36
Record
49% win rate
-19%
Return
275 still open
Profit over time71 settled trades
+$233-$1.5K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$2.1K
Max drawdown
607% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.63×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $3.6K lost
-12.3 pts
Edge vs implied
49% won at 62¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
53 trades

By category

other11 settled+43%
sports60 settled-30%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

172 open positions worth $33.9K

The markets man.waist is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what man.waist is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Oct 7
Yes88¢$991+$139
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Oct 7
Yes83¢$791+$157
yes Los Angeles L wins by over 6.5 points,yes Anna Danilina / Desirae Krawczyk,yes Katerina Siniakova / Shuai Zhang
Oct 6
Yes78¢$325+$94
See every position across 458 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BYU wins by over 6.5 points
    $965 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 3
    +$1.0K
  2. 2
    New York wins by over 2.5 points?
    $966 on Yes at 49¢, Apr 25
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
    $966 on Yes at 49¢, Sep 23
    +$993
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Ole Miss at Texas Winner?60¢100%-$384
San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points?52¢1+$0
Detroit wins by over 2.5 points?48¢10+$0
Oklahoma vs Alabama winner?54¢8+$0
yes Denver,yes San Antonio,yes EDM Oilers54¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 10Oct 7

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$839
Mar 2026-$1.1K
Apr 2026+$633
May 2026-$296
Jun 2026-$1.3K
Jul 2026+$464
Aug 2026+$54
Sep 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026+$3.9K

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