mattdawg38
+$3.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 47
- First Seen
- Sep 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 7, 2026
- Followers
- 7
- Best In Parlays
- 67% won · 18 settled · +$4.1K
mattdawg38 is a Kalshi trader with 47 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 29 wins and 16 losses on settled markets, $3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 7.
- Win rate
- 64%
- Return on settled
- +20%
- Money traded
- $16.8K
- Typical trade
- $374
- Avg entry
- 52¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,454
Profit over time
+$4.5K-$710
Sep 10Oct 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11%
20 to 40¢334%0%-34 pts
40 to 60¢4054%73%+19 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $511190%+$180
$54 to $3511145%-$683
$398 to $6361155%+$585
$650 to $1.5K1182%+$4.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays1871%+$4.7K
MMA771%+$767
NFL1392%+$945
College football50%-$1.2K
Baseball10%-$739
Side taken
Yes 57%43% No
If you had copied mattdawg38
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1039
Profit
on $4300 staked
29-14
Record
67% win rate
+24%
Return
+$1.0K+$0
Sep 7Oct 5
-$623
Max drawdown
77% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.74×
Profit factor
$2.4K won vs $1.4K lost
+14.9 pts
Edge vs implied
67% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 8 trades
By category
other11 settled+47%
sports32 settled+16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Oct 7
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Oct 7
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Oct 7
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.0Kyes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored$1.5K on Yes at 58¢, Oct 5
- 2+$1.0Kyes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored$1.4K on Yes at 57¢, Oct 4
- 3+$720Esteban Ribovics wins by KO/TKO/DQ?$480 on Yes at 40¢, Oct 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored56¢1182%+$4.5K
Cleveland wins59¢10%-$739
no BYU wins by over 20.5 points,no Florida wins by over 20.5 points,no Kentucky wins by over 11.5 points56¢1100%+$525
yes Bryce Young: 1+,no DET Lions wins by over 7.5 points56¢1100%+$527
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored55¢1100%+$560
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 10Oct 7
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$361
Oct 2026+$4.1K
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