rivomarkets

confident

+$3.4K
Tracked Trades
247
First Seen
Apr 11, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 18, 2026
Followers
7

confident is a Kalshi trader with 247 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 41 wins and 81 losses on settled markets, $3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Full Game: over 66.5 points scored? on Sep 18.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
+28%
Money traded
$36.8K
Typical trade
$94
Copy score
11/100
Kalshi rank
#1,364

Profit over time

+$3.4K+$0
Apr 11Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6811%26%+16 pts
20 to 40¢5228%61%+33 pts
40 to 60¢9847%21%-26 pts
60 to 80¢1170%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢1889%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $246224%-$4
$24 to $946220%-$282
$94 to $1896247%+$2.6K
$190 to $2.4K6150%+$1.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2+$0

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied confident

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1310
Profit
on $3800 staked
8-30
Record
21% win rate
+34%
Return
56 still open
Profit over time38 settled trades
+$1.3K-$1.8K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.44×
Profit factor
$4.3K won vs $3.0K lost
-5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
33 trades

By category

other38 settled+34%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

50 open positions worth $13.4K

The markets confident is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what confident is holding

Recent positions

Full Game: over 66.5 points scored?
Sep 18, avg 81¢
SELLYES$2.4KOpen
Full Game: over 66.5 points scored?
Sep 18, 5 fills, avg 13¢
BUYYES$388+$2.6K
Detroit wins 3Q by over 7.5 points?
Sep 18, 2 fills, avg 13¢
BUYYES$189-$189
See every position across 139 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Full Game: over 66.5 points scored?
    $388 on Yes, Sep 18
    +$2.6K
  2. 2
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
    $285 on Yes, Jun 15
    +$801
  3. 3
    Germany wins by more than 5.5 goals?
    $189 on Yes, Jun 14
    +$781
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Full Game: over 66.5 points scored?6100%+$2.6K
Colombia wins by more than 1.5 goals?2+$0
Spain vs Argentina Winner?1+$0
Argentina wins by more than 1.5 goals?100%-$897
San Antonio vs New York: First Half Total?170%-$337

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 21Sep 18

Profit by month

Apr 2026+$1.6K
May 2026+$133
Jun 2026+$1.4K
Jul 2026-$2.5K
Aug 2026-$94
Sep 2026+$2.8K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy confident on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.