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Stats as of
confident
+$12.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 316
- First Seen
- Apr 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 9, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 34% won · 87 settled · +$16.4K
confident is a Kalshi trader with 316 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 90 wins and 162 losses on settled markets, $12.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFL3QSPREAD-26NOV08TBCHI-CHI3 on Nov 9.
- Win rate
- 36%
- Return on settled
- +18%
- Money traded
- $114.1K
- Typical trade
- $241.89
- Avg entry
- 23¢
- Kalshi rank
- #630
Profit over time
+$14.4K-$1.9K
Apr 11Nov 9
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8912%14%+1 pts
20 to 40¢9328%45%+16 pts
40 to 60¢7047%48%+0 pts
60 to 80¢2372%75%+3 pts
Over 80¢4193%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $957916%-$249.66
$95 to $2427949%+$3.9K
$242 to $4747933%+$7.2K
$474 to $2.6K7946%+$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL12734%+$16.4K
NBA6449%-$154.52
Soccer9126%-$4.4K
College football1531%-$706.88
Tennis775%+$1.0K
MMA850%+$514.47
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied confident
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$3,233.09
Profit
on $11,400.00 staked
40-74
Record
35% win rate
+28%
Return
+$3.3K-$100.00
Aug 24Nov 9
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
29% below peak
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.44×
Profit factor
$10.6K won vs $7.4K lost
+7.8 pts
Edge vs implied
35% won at 27¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 24 trades
By category
other19 settled+80%
sports95 settled+18%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNFL3QSPREAD-26NOV08TBCHI-CHI3
Nov 9
Green Bay wins 1H by over 10.5 points?
Nov 8
KXNFL1HSPREAD-26NOV08LVSF-SF10
Nov 8
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.1KGreen Bay wins 2Q by over 6.5 points?$471.40 on Yes at 13¢, Oct 30
- 2+$2.6KFull Game: over 66.5 points scored?$388.10 on Yes at 13¢, Sep 18
- 3+$2.2KSan Francisco wins 1Q by over 7.5 points?$425.01 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Dallas wins 2Q by over 2.5 points?18¢2100%+$2.2K
Jacksonville wins 2Q by over 6.5 points?33¢2100%+$1.4K
Full Game: over 66.5 points scored?13¢2100%+$2.6K
New England wins by over 6.5 points?14¢20%-$471.54
San Francisco wins 1Q by over 7.5 points?16¢1050%+$2.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 12Nov 9
Profit by month
Apr 2026+$1.4K
May 2026+$409.71
Jun 2026+$2.7K
Jul 2026-$6.4K
Aug 2026-$94.13
Sep 2026+$3.6K
Oct 2026+$2.4K
Nov 2026+$8.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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