negativeyield
+$900
- Tracked Trades
- 1,001
- First Seen
- Jul 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 6, 2026
- Followers
- 100
- Best In Baseball
- 79% won · 56 settled · +$1.5K
negativeyield is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 46 losses on settled markets, $900 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMLBAL-26-NYY on Oct 6.
- Win rate
- 55%
- Return on settled
- +16%
- Money traded
- $56.4K
- Typical trade
- $15
- Avg entry
- 23¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,240
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$279
Jul 14Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2779%13%+4 pts
20 to 40¢19928%48%+20 pts
40 to 60¢8951%25%-26 pts
60 to 80¢20271%88%+17 pts
Over 80¢23490%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425130%-$7
$4 to $1525055%+$364
$16 to $4525053%+$134
$45 to $2.8K25072%+$409
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball50679%+$1.5K
Fed and rates7938%-$211
Commodities137+$0
Parlays1000%-$199
Soccer59+$0
Stocks and indices230%-$72
Side taken
Yes 53%47% No
If you had copied negativeyield
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$3214
Profit
on $10200 staked
56-46
Record
55% win rate
+32%
Return
431 still open
+$4.0K-$258
Jul 6Oct 5
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
30% below peak
2.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.70×
Profit factor
$7.8K won vs $4.6K lost
+9.8 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 45¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 14 trades
By category
sports78 settled+64%
finance14 settled-65%
culture9 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
171 open positions worth $10.1K
The markets negativeyield is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship?
Oct 6, 34 fills
Will New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?
Oct 6, 54 fills
Will Cody Bellinger win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?
Oct 6, 3 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$574Cam Schlittler: 10+ strikeouts?$85 on Yes at 13¢, Sep 30
- 2+$276Cam Schlittler: 9+ strikeouts?$124 on Yes at 31¢, Sep 29
- 3+$173Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?$828 on Yes at 83¢, Sep 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?68¢5587%+$80
Will Cam Schlittler win AL Cy Young?43¢27+$0
Will New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship?50¢42+$0
Will Shohei Ohtani win NL MVP?58¢21+$0
Will Cody Bellinger win Pro Baseball Championship Series MVP?3¢9+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 9Oct 6
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$26
Aug 2026-$305
Sep 2026+$1.6K
Oct 2026-$380
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