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Stats as of

lengthy.starfish

-$1.4K
Tracked Trades
2,801
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 5, 2026
Best In World politics
47% won · 129 settled · +$809.29

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active politics traders who bet one side: Scottaholic, similar.clownfish7790, bananastand21

lengthy.starfish is a Kalshi trader with 2,801 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 201 wins and 286 losses on settled markets, -$1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress? on Nov 5.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
-3%
Money traded
$154.2K
Typical trade
$9.46
Avg entry
46¢
Kalshi rank
#3,742

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$2.1K
Aug 20Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12419%9%+1 pts
20 to 40¢96229%5%-23 pts
40 to 60¢13048%7%-41 pts
60 to 80¢18470%98%+29 pts
Over 80¢28493%98%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $370118%-$69.52
$3 to $970028%-$213.11
$9 to $3570039%-$837.99
$35 to $5.0K70057%-$266.50

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics57147%+$809.29
Soccer139522%-$1.0K
Parlays74947%-$1.7K
US elections10+$0.00
NFL36100%+$97.18
Tennis4+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied lengthy.starfish

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,221.00
Profit
on $15,600.00 staked
67-89
Record
43% win rate
-8%
Return
13 still open
Profit over time156 settled trades
+$1.6K-$1.2K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$3.6K
Max drawdown
170% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$7.7K won vs $8.9K lost
-1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
70 trades

By category

other48 settled+29%
politics26 settled+25%
sports82 settled-40%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $9.9K

The markets lengthy.starfish is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lengthy.starfish is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Alaska?
Nov 4
Sold Nosold 93¢$644.18Exited
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 28, 8 fills
No77¢sold 75¢$1.1KExited
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 28, 37 fills
Yes25¢sold 27¢$539.12Exited
See every position across 649 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $3.7K on Yes at 55¢, Oct 25
    +$3.0K
  2. 2
    Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
    $4.9K on Yes at 69¢, Oct 26
    +$2.2K
  3. 3
    Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $136.05 on No at 13¢, Oct 9
    +$910.49
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?40¢101822%-$997.03
Who will win the Nobel Peace Prize?85¢13855%-$589.35
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?18¢1818%-$898.34
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?47¢7682%+$2.2K
Will Las Vegas win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?98¢12+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 8Nov 5

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$254.45
Sep 2026-$1.4K
Oct 2026+$303.97

Kalshi leaderboards

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