thick.earthworm7758
+$3.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 111
- First Seen
- Jun 30, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 2, 2026
- Followers
- 1
- Best In NFL
- 53% won · 17 settled · +$5.3K
thick.earthworm7758 is a Kalshi trader with 111 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 33 losses on settled markets, $3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Cleveland wins on Oct 2.
- Win rate
- 25%
- Return on settled
- +39%
- Money traded
- $26.8K
- Typical trade
- $91
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,683
Profit over time
+$3.3K-$2.0K
Jul 30Oct 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢778%7%-2 pts
20 to 40¢1925%62%+36 pts
40 to 60¢751%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢774%
Over 80¢188%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $28280%-$76
$28 to $912833%+$1.5K
$93 to $2512813%-$237
$284 to $2.3K2740%+$2.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball689%-$1.7K
NFL2353%+$5.3K
Parlays190%-$272
College football10%-$94
Side taken
Yes 84%16% No
If you had copied thick.earthworm7758
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4311
Profit
on $4400 staked
11-33
Record
25% win rate
+98%
Return
45 still open
+$4.3K-$1.2K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.31×
Profit factor
$7.6K won vs $3.3K lost
+11.0 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 14¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 15 trades
By category
sports43 settled+95%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
25 open positions worth $2.3K
The markets thick.earthworm7758 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Cleveland wins
Oct 2, 2 fills
Cleveland wins
Oct 2, 7 fills
yes Boston,yes San Diego,yes Sonny Gray: 8+,yes Sonny Gray: 15+
Sep 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.0KCleveland wins$949 on Yes at 24¢, Oct 2
- 2+$1.6KCincinnati wins$66 on Yes at 4¢, Aug 26
- 3+$1.5KDenver wins$660 on Yes at 31¢, Sep 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Houston wins16¢70%-$727
Cleveland wins31¢9100%+$4.3K
St. Louis wins18¢40%-$734
Seattle vs Los Angeles D Winner?6¢5+$0
Minnesota vs Seattle Winner?6¢70%-$94
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 5Oct 2
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$236
Aug 2026+$868
Sep 2026-$1.7K
Oct 2026+$4.3K
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