rivomarkets

someTEXASguyBDUB

sometexasguybdub

+$3.2K
Tracked Trades
1,403
First Seen
Jul 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 6, 2026
Followers
65
Best In Baseball
17% won · 406 settled · +$3.8K

someTEXASguyBDUB is a Kalshi trader with 1,403 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 106 wins and 659 losses on settled markets, $3.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Cleveland wins on Oct 6.

Win rate
14%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$140.6K
Typical trade
$25
Avg entry
6¢
Kalshi rank
#1,694

Profit over time

+$4.5K-$6.5K
Jul 4Oct 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9167%13%+6 pts
20 to 40¢28328%18%-9 pts
40 to 60¢10249%15%-34 pts
60 to 80¢2470%0%-69 pts
Over 80¢7890%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $535120%+$198
$5 to $253517%-$919
$26 to $9435112%-$275
$94 to $4.9K35018%+$4.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Baseball81517%+$3.8K
College football1099%-$651
NFL8621%+$2.7K
Parlays2000%-$1.4K
Hockey659%-$348
Soccer380%-$951

Side taken

Yes 86%14% No

If you had copied someTEXASguyBDUB

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$24815
Profit
on $74600 staked
106-640
Record
14% win rate
+33%
Return
404 still open
Profit over time746 settled trades
+$26.8K-$5.1K
Jul 6Oct 5
-$20.2K
Max drawdown
150% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.39×
Profit factor
$88.8K won vs $64.0K lost
+1.8 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 12¢ avg
Longest losing streak
60
Deepest drawdown
408 trades

By category

crypto24 settled+1263%
other455 settled+5%
sports267 settled-28%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

211 open positions worth $26.3K

The markets someTEXASguyBDUB is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what someTEXASguyBDUB is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Cleveland wins
Oct 6, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 87¢$2.8KExited
Cleveland wins
Oct 5, 4 fills
Yes14¢$451-$451
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5
Sold Nosold 79¢$91Exited
See every position across 503 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Philadelphia wins
    $1.8K on Yes at 18¢, Sep 30
    +$8.6K
  2. 2
    Pittsburgh vs Buffalo Pro Football game: Buffalo wins?
    $706 on Yes at 15¢, Aug 28
    +$3.9K
  3. 3
    Texas wins
    $359 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 6
    +$2.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Philadelphia wins15¢4440%+$10.5K
Texas wins7¢1029%-$918
Rutgers wins4¢210%-$367
Boston wins6¢3428%+$58
Tennessee wins5¢200%-$447

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 9Oct 6

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$3.9K
Aug 2026+$3.1K
Sep 2026+$5.0K
Oct 2026-$983

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