rivomarkets
Kalshi

thoughtless.duck6695

+$222
Tracked Trades
313
First Seen
Jun 22, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Followers
2
Best In Baseball
87% won · 15 settled · +$235

thoughtless.duck6695 is a Kalshi trader with 313 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 12 losses on settled markets, $222 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille on Oct 2.

Win rate
67%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$29.4K
Typical trade
$31
Avg entry
16¢
Kalshi rank
#3,522

Profit over time

+$382-$34
Jul 3Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1089%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢4730%0%-30 pts
40 to 60¢4449%63%+14 pts
60 to 80¢4868%95%+27 pts
Over 80¢6690%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $147981%+$21
$14 to $317867%+$11
$32 to $1127814%-$248
$112 to $1.1K78100%+$440

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays21213%-$173
Baseball5787%+$235
NFL1688%+$177
Tennis11100%+$6
Mentions12+$0
Soccer3100%+$11

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied thoughtless.duck6695

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$228
Profit
on $3500 staked
23-12
Record
66% win rate
+7%
Return
147 still open
Profit over time35 settled trades
+$528-$175
Jul 6Sep 28
-$400
Max drawdown
64% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.19×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $1.2K lost
+14.9 pts
Edge vs implied
66% won at 51¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

sports35 settled+7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

130 open positions worth $6.7K

The markets thoughtless.duck6695 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thoughtless.duck6695 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille
Oct 2
Sold Nosold 75¢$1.1KExited
yes Denzel Boston: 3+,yes Quinshon Judkins: 3+,yes Jaylen Warren: 3+,no PIT Steelers wins by over 3.5 points,yes Jaylen Warren: 1+
Oct 1
Yes3¢$47-$47
yes New York Y,yes San Diego,yes Ben Rice: 1+,yes Fernando Tatis Jr.: 1+
Oct 1
Sold Nosold 59¢$157Exited
See every position across 170 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    A's wins
    $183 on Yes at 46¢, Aug 27
    +$212
  2. 2
    Kansas City wins
    $363 on Yes at 67¢, Sep 21
    +$178
  3. 3
    yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Dallas
    $191 on Yes at 60¢, Sep 20
    +$127
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,yes America,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Marseille2+$0
yes Los Angeles D,yes Gable Steveson,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes KO/TKO/DQ,yes Argentina advances25¢2+$0
yes Carolina,yes Tampa Bay,yes Los Angeles C,yes San Francisco,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Philadelphia,yes New England9¢20%-$79
yes San Francisco,yes Carolina,yes Cincinnati,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes Seattle6¢20%-$47
yes Dallas,yes Green Bay,yes Las Vegas,yes Philadelphia,yes Dak Prescott: 200+,yes George Pickens: 50+27¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$11
Aug 2026+$159
Sep 2026+$99
Oct 2026-$47

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