TopDog.
topdog.
-$913
- Tracked Trades
- 1,046
- First Seen
- Apr 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Followers
- 2
- Best In Parlays
- 32% won · 19 settled · +$2.9K
TopDog. is a Kalshi trader with 1,046 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 60 wins and 124 losses on settled markets, -$913 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: San Jose St. wins on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 33%
- Return on settled
- -7%
- Money traded
- $78.3K
- Typical trade
- $15
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,725
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$2.4K
Apr 15Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3058%13%+6 pts
20 to 40¢23629%20%-9 pts
40 to 60¢26349%47%-2 pts
60 to 80¢8869%43%-26 pts
Over 80¢15093%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $426130%-$20
$4 to $1526133%+$7
$16 to $6526031%-$757
$65 to $2.4K26036%+$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays35338%+$4.5K
Baseball31238%-$1.6K
Tennis3615%-$736
College football2850%-$583
Soccer2153%-$220
Commodities207%-$295
Side taken
Yes 66%34% No
If you had copied TopDog.
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$540
Profit
on $12400 staked
45-79
Record
36% win rate
-4%
Return
185 still open
+$654-$540
Jul 6Sep 28
-$4.5K
Max drawdown
171% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$7.4K won vs $7.9K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 41
- Deepest drawdown
- 49 trades
By category
sports97 settled+19%
finance14 settled-81%
crypto13 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
148 open positions worth $11.9K
The markets TopDog. is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
San Jose St. wins
Oct 4
yes Milwaukee wins by over 3.5 runs,yes Louisiana wins by over 16.5 points
Oct 4
Old Dominion wins by over 2.5 points
Oct 3, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.5Kyes New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 7.5 runs scored$377 on Yes at 13¢, Sep 29
- 2+$1.6Kyes Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 7.5 runs scored$378 on Yes at 19¢, Sep 29
- 3+$699Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Winner?$725 on Yes at 51¢, May 25
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Ignacio Buse wins7¢130%-$280
yes Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 8.5 runs scored16¢20%-$378
yes New York M,yes Detroit,yes Arizona,yes Colorado,yes Los Angeles D,yes Boston,yes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs1¢2+$0
Tampa Bay vs Baltimore Winner?48¢1060%+$314
yes Toronto,yes Boston wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs11¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$237
May 2026-$479
Jun 2026-$367
Jul 2026-$17
Aug 2026+$61
Sep 2026+$2.9K
Oct 2026-$1.1K
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