rivomarkets

Terfa

0x1a94ff77cdc335af43ca58939cc851a6ae6b78b6

+$55
Tracked Trades
998
First Seen
Mar 9, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026

Terfa is a Polymarket trader with 998 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7 wins and 6 losses on settled markets, $55 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? on Oct 1.

Win rate
54%
Return on settled
+158%
Money traded
$23.9K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
40¢
Polymarket rank
#2,788

Profit over time

+$62-$3
Aug 28Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2038%
20 to 40¢19529%57%+28 pts
40 to 60¢39450%100%+50 pts
60 to 80¢10168%
Over 80¢9291%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $42470%-$5
$4 to $5246100%+$52
$5 to $16246100%+$15
$16 to $612246+$0

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin1850%-$1
Entertainment108+$0
Other culture37+$0
Tech and AI26100%+$30
NFL21+$0
Soccer146+$0

Side taken

Yes 40%60% No

If you had copied Terfa

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1019
Profit
on $900 staked
6-3
Record
67% win rate
+113%
Return
91 still open
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$1.0K-$200
Jun 29Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

culture6 settled+200%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

69 open positions worth $235

The markets Terfa is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Terfa is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Oct 1
No84¢$5+$1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Oct 1, 2 fills
Yes26¢sold 17¢$2-$2
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?
Sep 30, 2 fills
Yes26¢sold 25¢$5+$15
See every position across 762 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
    $5 on Yes at 24¢, Sep 30
    +$15
  2. 2
    Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?
    $5 on Yes at 26¢, Sep 30
    +$15
  3. 3
    Will Trump say "Ford" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?
    $5 on No at 26¢, Sep 30
    +$15
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?84¢6+$0
Will Elon tweet 550-574 times March 7-14?84¢8+$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?55¢7+$0
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?38¢6+$0
Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21?70¢8+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$2
Sep 2026+$64
Oct 2026-$1

Similar Polymarket traders

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