rivomarkets

Varyag

0xd75d96a23515172778d3281f53c9180b985100c8

+$57
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Aug 23, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 25, 2026

Varyag is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $57 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? on Sep 25.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+30%
Money traded
$123.7K
Typical trade
$24
Avg entry
73¢
Polymarket rank
#2,428

Profit over time

+$61+$0
Aug 30Sep 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3065%
20 to 40¢8028%
40 to 60¢9450%
60 to 80¢10771%67%-5 pts
Over 80¢40994%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4249+$0
$4 to $2424980%+$9
$24 to $99249+$0
$99 to $4.0K249100%+$48

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather96867%+$52
World politics18100%+$1
Economic data6+$0
Bitcoin4100%+$3

Side taken

Yes 78%22% No

If you had copied Varyag

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$33
Profit
on $600 staked
5-1
Record
83% win rate
+6%
Return
128 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$84+$0
Jun 29Sep 21

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

61 open positions worth $7.0K

The markets Varyag is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Varyag is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25?
Sep 25
No93¢$24Open
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24?
Sep 24
Yes74¢$26Open
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23?
Sep 23
Yes76¢$4-$4
See every position across 489 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 30?
    $129 on Yes at 73¢, Aug 30
    +$48
  2. 2
    Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 22?
    $21 on Yes at 71¢, Sep 22
    +$9
  3. 3
    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 3?
    $13 on Yes at 81¢, Sep 3
    +$3
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 37°F or higher on December 8?100¢2+$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 23?100¢1+$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 43-44°F on November 19?100¢1+$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on January 7?92¢5+$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on November 18?4¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 28Sep 25

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$48
Sep 2026+$9

Similar Polymarket traders

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