rivomarkets

moonlight2020

0x407dd149f1e92c91d0053e0240e03318a1e01bae

+$121
Tracked Trades
56
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026

moonlight2020 is a Polymarket trader with 56 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $121 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? on Sep 29.

Win rate
56%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$87.7K
Typical trade
$1.0K
Avg entry
59¢
Polymarket rank
#2,178

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$6.4K
Aug 24Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢516%
20 to 40¢828%67%+39 pts
40 to 60¢552%0%-52 pts
60 to 80¢2472%58%-13 pts
Over 80¢1489%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$503 to $76614100%+$4.9K
$804 to $1.0K140%-$3.4K
$1.0K to $1.9K1450%-$2.1K
$1.9K to $6.4K1467%+$789

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics16100%+$5.0K
Companies1040%-$1.5K
Other crypto8+$0
Commodities3+$0
Fed and rates50%-$3.4K
Entertainment450%-$369

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied moonlight2020

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$37
Profit
on $1800 staked
10-8
Record
56% win rate
+2%
Return
18 still open
Profit over time18 settled trades
+$52-$98
Aug 24Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 18 so far.

By category

culture11 settled+18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $17.9K

The markets moonlight2020 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what moonlight2020 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sep 29, 2 fills
Yes59¢$5.9KOpen
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
Sep 28, 3 fills
No69¢sold 79¢$728+$319
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Sep 19, 4 fills
Yes75¢$14.8K+$5.0K
See every position across 21 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    $14.8K on Yes at 75¢, Sep 19
    +$5.0K
  2. 2
    Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
    $1.5K on Yes at 25¢, Aug 29
    +$4.5K
  3. 3
    Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
    $3.2K on No at 80¢, Aug 24
    +$805
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?54¢940%-$1.5K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?75¢4100%+$5.0K
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?87¢3+$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?41¢50%-$3.4K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?59¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$3.7K
Sep 2026+$3.8K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position50%
Closed a position23%
Opened a new position15%
Added to a position12%

Similar Polymarket traders

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