rivomarkets

arsenal85

0x15e9a4f23c85ce0d5b2016cd029d9185e9b3dacd

+$242
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 15, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Weather
44% won · 173 settled · +$195

arsenal85 is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 81 wins and 98 losses on settled markets, $242 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1? on Sep 30.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$8.4K
Typical trade
$8
Avg entry
31¢
Polymarket rank
#2,174

Profit over time

+$435-$210
Sep 16Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢13911%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢41331%43%+12 pts
40 to 60¢29046%51%+4 pts
60 to 80¢4667%73%+6 pts
Over 80¢2694%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $322932%-$7
$3 to $822941%-$3
$8 to $1222840%-$0
$12 to $13122852%+$233

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather91445%+$223

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied arsenal85

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$920
Profit
on $16800 staked
76-92
Record
45% win rate
+5%
Return
464 still open
Profit over time168 settled trades
+$920-$1.2K
Sep 14Sep 28
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
1734% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.10×
Profit factor
$10.1K won vs $9.2K lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
45% won at 40¢ avg
Longest losing streak
21
Deepest drawdown
30 trades

By category

culture168 settled+5%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

151 open positions worth $2.8K

The markets arsenal85 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what arsenal85 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on October 1?
Sep 30, 2 fills
Yes34¢$33Open
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 30?
Sep 30, 4 fills
Yes50¢$54+$54
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?
Sep 30
Yes50¢$18Open
See every position across 323 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 28?
    $44 on Yes at 34¢, Sep 28
    +$85
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 29?
    $42 on Yes at 33¢, Sep 29
    +$85
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 29?
    $52 on Yes at 38¢, Sep 29
    +$84
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 17?77¢4+$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20?34¢6+$0
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 27?34¢5+$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 21?36¢7+$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19?39¢17+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$223

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