rivomarkets

frogcast

0x31afe78ea1d3222a2da50ba8e3e383c8d6945c86

+$44
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 8, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Weather
89% won · 202 settled · +$44

frogcast is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 179 wins and 23 losses on settled markets, $44 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 1? on Sep 30.

Win rate
89%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$28.3K
Typical trade
$30
Avg entry
86¢
Polymarket rank
#2,187

Profit over time

+$155-$74
Sep 8Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢333%100%+67 pts
40 to 60¢3251%57%+6 pts
60 to 80¢6971%71%+0 pts
Over 80¢84193%93%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $10237100%+$42
$10 to $3023687%+$9
$30 to $5023687%+$53
$50 to $7023679%-$89

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather94588%+$15

Side taken

Yes 2%98% No

If you had copied frogcast

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$534
Profit
on $19600 staked
173-23
Record
88% win rate
+3%
Return
748 still open
Profit over time196 settled trades
+$967+$0
Sep 7Sep 28
-$628
Max drawdown
58% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $2.3K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
88% won at 87¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
20 trades

By category

culture196 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

577 open positions worth $22.5K

The markets frogcast is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what frogcast is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 1?
Sep 30
No90¢$60Open
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 1?
Sep 30
No98¢$60Open
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or higher on October 2?
Sep 30
No92¢$35Open
See every position across 708 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?
    $94 on Yes at 53¢, Sep 27
    +$84
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 23?
    $42 on No at 43¢, Sep 22
    +$56
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 14?
    $50 on No at 49¢, Sep 12
    +$52
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 30?46¢60%-$135
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?53¢6100%+$84
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 20?95¢1+$0
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 30?86¢2100%+$9
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?71¢20%-$60

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$15

Similar Polymarket traders

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