rivomarkets

0x4ce3…4291

0x4ce3f17be91c3d0d6dbfed7bd4d326957dec4291

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
1,004
First Seen
Sep 13, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Weather
21% won · 283 settled · +$1.5K

0x4ce3…4291 is a Polymarket trader with 1,004 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 224 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1? on Oct 1.

Win rate
21%
Return on settled
+15%
Money traded
$31.1K
Typical trade
$5
Avg entry
13¢
Polymarket rank
#2,147

Profit over time

+$2.3K+$0
Sep 13Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6756%9%+3 pts
20 to 40¢18827%30%+3 pts
40 to 60¢3648%38%-10 pts
60 to 80¢1570%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢8594%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $22508%+$10
$2 to $525013%+$386
$5 to $1425014%-$72
$14 to $2.1K24949%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather99921%+$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied 0x4ce3…4291

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$12862
Profit
on $28100 staked
59-222
Record
21% win rate
+46%
Return
569 still open
Profit over time281 settled trades
+$18.2K+$0
Sep 7Sep 28
-$9.9K
Max drawdown
43% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.58×
Profit factor
$35.1K won vs $22.2K lost
+2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 19¢ avg
Longest losing streak
35
Deepest drawdown
114 trades

By category

culture281 settled+46%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

276 open positions worth $6.5K

The markets 0x4ce3…4291 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0x4ce3…4291 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?
Oct 1, 4 fills
Yes49¢$37-$37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 1?
Oct 1
Yes2¢$2-$2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 1?
Oct 1, 2 fills
Yes1¢$2-$2
See every position across 449 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?
    $2.5K on No at 82¢, Sep 16
    +$550
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20?
    $229 on Yes at 42¢, Sep 20
    +$317
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on September 28?
    $89 on Yes at 23¢, Sep 28
    +$300
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 21?99¢3+$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?82¢5100%+$550
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 14?92¢3100%+$168
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 20?89¢6100%+$235
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?63¢5+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.9K
Oct 2026-$347

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