rivomarkets
Polymarket

WrongBy1Degree

0x0a0c42f6b1da5a633ec1a4d45ba76eb486c1a853

+$3.9K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In Weather
55% won · 657 settled · +$3.6K

WrongBy1Degree is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 385 wins and 311 losses on settled markets, $3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1? on Sep 30.

Win rate
55%
Return on settled
+33%
Money traded
$16.6K
Typical trade
$15
Avg entry
29¢
Polymarket rank
#1,931

Profit over time

+$4.0K-$45
Sep 25Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢24611%16%+5 pts
20 to 40¢22227%41%+14 pts
40 to 60¢16350%64%+14 pts
60 to 80¢28571%86%+15 pts
Over 80¢8482%85%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1525010%-$1.2K
$15 to $1525044%-$212
$15 to $1525096%+$4.1K
$15 to $9025050%+$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather100055%+$3.9K

Side taken

Yes 52%48% No

If you had copied WrongBy1Degree

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$23895
Profit
on $69600 staked
385-311
Record
55% win rate
+34%
Return
304 still open
Profit over time696 settled trades
+$23.9K+$0
Sep 21Sep 28
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
17% below peak
5.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.77×
Profit factor
$55.0K won vs $31.1K lost
+11.0 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 44¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
111 trades

By category

culture685 settled+35%
other11 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

133 open positions worth $4.7K

The markets WrongBy1Degree is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what WrongBy1Degree is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 1?
Sep 30, 7 fills
Yes33¢$157Open
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 1?
Sep 30, 16 fills
Yes9¢$130-$130
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 1?
Sep 30, 7 fills
No73¢$105Open
See every position across 325 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?
    $382 on Yes at 25¢, Sep 29
    +$1.2K
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30?
    $180 on Yes at 19¢, Sep 29
    +$763
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?
    $480 on Yes at 43¢, Sep 30
    +$648
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?43¢12100%+$648
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?25¢13100%+$1.2K
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 30?38¢120%-$255
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 1?80¢15100%+$55
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 1?79¢7+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$3.9K

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