Polymarketendoption
0xb16dc3169b090c54d1f73321919a03485ad6f064
+$166
- Tracked Trades
- 703
- First Seen
- Jul 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In Tech and AI
- 100% won · 22 settled · +$167
endoption is a Polymarket trader with 703 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 26 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, $166 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 90%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $31.2K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Avg entry
- 88¢
- Polymarket rank
- #2,859
Profit over time
+$166+$0
Aug 21Sep 28
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢534%100%+66 pts
40 to 60¢17953%60%+7 pts
60 to 80¢27569%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢24493%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $517633%-$6
$5 to $5176100%+$1
$5 to $3517688%+$74
$35 to $1.6K175100%+$98
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI141100%+$167
Companies154100%+$2
Ethereum40450%-$3
Economic data4+$0
Side taken
Yes 20%80% No
If you had copied endoption
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$358
Profit
on $2900 staked
26-3
Record
90% win rate
+12%
Return
667 still open
+$358+$0
Jul 13Sep 28
-$122
Max drawdown
33% below peak
2.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.19×
Profit factor
$658 won vs $300 lost
+5.6 pts
Edge vs implied
90% won at 84¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 1
- Deepest drawdown
- 4 trades
By category
culture22 settled+20%
crypto6 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
425 open positions worth $28.4K
The markets endoption is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Kimi K4 released by March 31, 2027?
Sep 29, 8 fills
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
Sep 28, 16 fills
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?
Sep 26, 55 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$132Next DeepSeek Flash released by September 30, 2026?$212 on Yes at 62¢, Aug 31
- 2+$19Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$668 on Yes at 97¢, Aug 30
- 3+$17Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?$1.2K on No at 99¢, Sep 28
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?83¢53+$0
Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?88¢55+$0
Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?93¢16+$0
Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026?88¢26+$0
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by July 31, 2026?97¢3+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$149
Sep 2026+$17
Similar Polymarket traders
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