rivomarkets

Milksheen

0xd8726283468c86fdb22755db72774a6c58fedfae

+$1.8K
Tracked Trades
246
First Seen
Sep 15, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
84% won · 75 settled · +$2.5K

Milksheen is a Polymarket trader with 246 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 70 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? on Oct 2.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$34.4K
Typical trade
$63
Avg entry
62¢
Polymarket rank
#2,211

Profit over time

+$1.8K+$0
Sep 15Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢198%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢5631%43%+13 pts
40 to 60¢3349%73%+25 pts
60 to 80¢4971%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢8990%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $256259%+$204
$25 to $636279%+$273
$63 to $1446168%+$36
$148 to $1.8K6182%+$1.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI20184%+$2.5K
Bitcoin2524%-$656
Companies20100%+$1

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied Milksheen

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1652
Profit
on $9800 staked
70-28
Record
71% win rate
+17%
Return
130 still open
Profit over time98 settled trades
+$1.7K+$0
Sep 14Sep 28
-$908
Max drawdown
94% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.59×
Profit factor
$4.5K won vs $2.8K lost
+13.6 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

culture75 settled+30%
crypto21 settled-29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

26 open positions worth $14.5K

The markets Milksheen is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Milksheen is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Oct 2, 4 fills
Yes30¢$246Open
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Oct 2, 2 fills
Yes89¢$1.3KOpen
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Oct 2
Yes28¢$207Open
See every position across 64 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
    $522 on No at 44¢, Sep 23
    +$652
  2. 2
    Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?
    $1.0K on Yes at 64¢, Sep 16
    +$570
  3. 3
    Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?
    $456 on Yes at 45¢, Sep 23
    +$563
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026?95¢5100%+$269
Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?74¢15+$0
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?82¢9100%+$485
Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?92¢6+$0
Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?75¢16+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.8K

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