Polymarketcerco
0x25a74e4d0795b842a4e8e934620781e3c5f48b7c
+$1.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,004
- First Seen
- Apr 12, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In World politics
- 83% won · 48 settled · +$914
cerco is a Polymarket trader with 1,004 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 11 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 84%
- Return on settled
- +14%
- Money traded
- $400.4K
- Typical trade
- $100
- Copy score
- 74/100
- Polymarket rank
- #1,744
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$4
Aug 6Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1578%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢6730%14%-16 pts
40 to 60¢14251%80%+29 pts
60 to 80¢11472%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢51493%96%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2624979%+$3
$27 to $10024971%-$60
$100 to $32624895%+$381
$326 to $8.3K248100%+$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
World politics52883%+$914
Soccer217100%+$30
Fed and rates9+$0
Other crypto37100%+$367
Economic data16+$0
Entertainment25100%+$215
Side taken
Yes 42%58% No
If you had copied cerco
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$371
Profit
on $7000 staked
59-11
Record
84% win rate
+5%
Return
206 still open
+$371-$6
Jun 29Sep 28
-$591
Max drawdown
148% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.34×
Profit factor
$1.5K won vs $1.1K lost
+7.0 pts
Edge vs implied
84% won at 77¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 7 trades
By category
crypto7 settled+28%
culture13 settled+21%
politics46 settled+2%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
122 open positions worth $49.0K
The markets cerco is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 87¢
Trump renames AI by September 30?
Sep 29, 4 fills, avg 92¢
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
Sep 29, 2 fills, avg 76¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$472Will Iran target Iraq by September 15, 2026?$2.5K on Yes, Sep 2
- 2+$405Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?$500 on Yes, Sep 1
- 3+$318LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?$2.2K on Yes, Sep 9
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?3+$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?3+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?12+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? 5+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?13+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$346
Sep 2026+$1.6K
How they build positions
Trimmed a position88%
Closed a position13%
Similar Polymarket traders
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