rivomarkets

warm.pines

+$9.4K
Tracked Trades
809
First Seen
Nov 3, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 8, 2026
Followers
2
Best In Parlays
41% won · 17 settled · +$8.3K

warm.pines is a Kalshi trader with 809 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 27 wins and 36 losses on settled markets, $9.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 8.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
+46%
Money traded
$75.1K
Typical trade
$28
Avg entry
17¢
Kalshi rank
#607

Profit over time

+$12.3K-$1.7K
Mar 21Oct 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢23710%18%+8 pts
20 to 40¢25229%70%+41 pts
40 to 60¢25447%32%-15 pts
60 to 80¢3670%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢2991%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1020250%-$4
$10 to $2820227%-$36
$28 to $8520260%+$399
$85 to $5.6K20243%+$9.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays33241%+$8.3K
Esports2730%-$101
MMA4377%+$802
WNBA6667%+$466
Baseball2575%-$157
Basketball160%-$556

Side taken

Yes 84%16% No

If you had copied warm.pines

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2518
Profit
on $4500 staked
20-25
Record
44% win rate
+56%
Return
120 still open
Profit over time45 settled trades
+$2.5K-$133
Jul 6Oct 5
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
2216% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.01×
Profit factor
$5.0K won vs $2.5K lost
+8.4 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 36¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
12 trades

By category

sports33 settled+78%
other12 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

93 open positions worth $17.7K

The markets warm.pines is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what warm.pines is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 8
Yes11¢$565-$565
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 6
Yes17¢$927-$927
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 6
Yes18¢$709-$709
See every position across 438 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $985 on Yes at 17¢, Oct 5
    +$4.8K
  2. 2
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $1.1K on Yes at 22¢, Oct 3
    +$3.9K
  3. 3
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $2.0K on Yes at 38¢, Oct 4
    +$3.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points32¢1145%+$7.4K
yes Indiana,yes Minnesota,no Indiana wins by over 9.5 points,yes Over 176.5 points,yes Over 168.5 points8¢2+$0
yes Oklahoma St.,yes Oregon wins by over 6.5 points,yes Charlotte wins by over 9.5 points,yes Salahdine Parnasse by KO/TKO/DQ14¢2+$0
yes Orlando,yes Atlanta wins by over 9.5 Points,yes Boston wins by over 8.5 Points,yes Charlotte wins by over 7.5 Points,yes Over 218.5 points scored25¢2+$0
yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 4+,yes New York,yes Jalen Brunson: 25+,yes Josh Hart: 10+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+,yes Mikal Bridges: 15+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes Over 211.5 points scored5¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 11Oct 8

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$8
Apr 2026+$138
May 2026-$79
Jun 2026+$42
Aug 2026+$523
Sep 2026-$1.4K
Oct 2026+$10.2K

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