rivomarkets

aarson

0x0258ae2c0ca6c6890a6159e197df9403cb2f13bf

+$213
Tracked Trades
661
First Seen
Jul 8, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026

aarson is a Polymarket trader with 661 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 22 wins and 9 losses on settled markets, $213 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 Week of September 28 2026? on Oct 1.

Win rate
71%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$37.5K
Typical trade
$44
Avg entry
69¢
Polymarket rank
#2,887

Profit over time

+$213-$187
Aug 20Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4812%
20 to 40¢8329%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢11251%50%-1 pts
60 to 80¢12971%71%+1 pts
Over 80¢28989%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1316633%-$10
$13 to $4416540%-$70
$44 to $8416583%+$128
$84 to $45016582%+$165

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin16580%+$59
Ethereum11971%-$44
Baseball7343%+$6
Stocks and indices76100%+$195
Solana130100%+$11
XRP60+$0

Side taken

Yes 21%79% No

If you had copied aarson

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$75
Profit
on $3100 staked
22-9
Record
71% win rate
-2%
Return
57 still open
Profit over time31 settled trades
+$157-$412
Jul 6Sep 28
-$570
Max drawdown
362% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.92×
Profit factor
$825 won vs $900 lost
+4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 67¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

finance7 settled+44%
crypto13 settled-3%
sports11 settled-32%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

50 open positions worth $3.8K

The markets aarson is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what aarson is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 Week of September 28 2026?
Oct 1, 4 fills
No81¢$295+$69
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026?
Sep 30, 3 fills
No58¢$174+$126
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 28 2026?
Sep 30
No84¢$84Open
See every position across 544 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of September 28 2026?
    $174 on No at 58¢, Sep 30
    +$126
  2. 2
    Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
    $201 on Los Angeles Dodgers at 67¢, Sep 5
    +$99
  3. 3
    Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
    $222 on Los Angeles Dodgers at 74¢, Sep 8
    +$78
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Solana reach $200 in July?83¢7+$0
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)55¢100%-$235
Will Solana reach $120 in March?90¢3+$0
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants63¢4+$0
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers68¢30%-$11

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$39
Sep 2026+$162
Oct 2026+$12

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