rivomarkets

johnashbough

0xef13bdcecd9c13e4a07bb20924657f3b110263d9

+$182
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 11, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Entertainment
60% won · 57 settled · +$169

johnashbough is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 85 wins and 61 losses on settled markets, $182 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026? on Sep 29.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$13.9K
Typical trade
$7
Copy score
50/100
Polymarket rank
#2,042

Profit over time

+$258-$183
Sep 12Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢23511%7%-4 pts
20 to 40¢21630%20%-10 pts
40 to 60¢21349%62%+13 pts
60 to 80¢13969%97%+28 pts
Over 80¢17190%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $324429%+$84
$3 to $724463%+$4
$7 to $1524361%+$35
$15 to $17824374%+$108

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Mentions27960%+$0
Entertainment24461%+$269
Commodities9973%+$28
Companies10737%-$152
World politics4854%+$60
US politics27+$0

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied johnashbough

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3511
Profit
on $14400 staked
84-60
Record
58% win rate
+24%
Return
480 still open
Profit over time144 settled trades
+$3.5K-$796
Sep 7Sep 28
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
103% below peak
3.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.59×
Profit factor
$9.5K won vs $6.0K lost
+9.6 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
18 trades

By category

culture91 settled+49%
politics13 settled-5%
finance40 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

213 open positions worth $6.7K

The markets johnashbough is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what johnashbough is holding

Recent positions

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 9, 2026?
Sep 29, 4 fills, avg 27¢
SELLYES$44Open
Will Trump say "Micron" in September?
Sep 29, avg 72¢
BUYNO$4Open
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 10 fills, avg 91¢
SELLNO$301Open
See every position across 242 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Best Dance at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
    $116 on No, Sep 27
    +$94
  2. 2
    Will “Nuevayol” by Bad Bunny win Best Latin at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
    $7 on Yes, Sep 28
    +$81
  3. 3
    Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?
    $131 on No, Sep 26
    +$70
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?27+$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?23+$0
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 21-September 27?1978%+$15
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?3100%+$14
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?50+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$232

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