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Stats as of

Gemini456

0x49ae18c82dab9fd3a2bb84d0a96c3ded503ff3ba

+$482.32
Tracked Trades
50
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
94% won · 16 settled · +$6.4K

Gemini456 is a Polymarket trader with 50 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 22 wins and 4 losses on settled markets, $482.32 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? on Nov 4.

Win rate
85%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$147.6K
Typical trade
$1.5K
Avg entry
83¢
Polymarket rank
#4,177

Profit over time

+$6.7K-$1.9K
Aug 20Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢426%
40 to 60¢551%0%-51 pts
60 to 80¢769%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢3488%95%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$3 to $68813100%+$654.48
$711 to $1.5K1383%+$746.06
$1.5K to $3.3K1250%-$7.4K
$3.7K to $20K12100%+$6.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates2994%+$6.4K
World politics11100%+$499.69
Commodities50%-$6.5K
Companies4100%+$16.92
Tech and AI1+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 24%76% No

If you had copied Gemini456

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$101.07
Profit
on $700.00 staked
5-2
Record
71% win rate
-14%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$7.79-$139.95
Aug 17Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

finance5 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $2.8K

The markets Gemini456 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Gemini456 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Oct 14
Yes72¢$687.59+$267.27
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026
Oct 2, 2 fills
Yes100¢$1.1K+$4.24
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026
Oct 2, 2 fills
No100¢$3.7K+$12.68
See every position across 10 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $47.5K on No at 85¢, Sep 16
    +$8.6K
  2. 2
    NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
    $6.4K on No at 93¢, Aug 20
    +$499.69
  3. 3
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
    $687.59 on Yes at 72¢, Oct 14
    +$267.27
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?82¢2893%+$6.2K
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?93¢5100%+$499.69
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?78¢50%-$6.5K
Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026100¢2100%+$12.68
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?3+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$2.0K
Sep 2026+$2.1K
Oct 2026+$284.19

How they build positions

Trimmed a position52%
Added to a position24%
Closed a position20%
Opened a new position4%

Polymarket leaderboards

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