rivomarkets

Stats as of

904NOLEY

904noley

+$581
Tracked Trades
411
First Seen
Feb 8, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 3, 2026
Best In College football
42% won · 12 settled · +$3.1K

904NOLEY is a Kalshi trader with 411 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 133 wins and 71 losses on settled markets, $581 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Virginia Tech wins on Oct 3.

Win rate
65%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$55.2K
Typical trade
$30
Avg entry
20¢
Kalshi rank
#3,772

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$2.5K
Feb 8Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢499%10%+1 pts
20 to 40¢4131%0%-31 pts
40 to 60¢6152%30%-22 pts
60 to 80¢8070%80%+10 pts
Over 80¢18092%95%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $610360%-$33
$6 to $3010350%-$222
$33 to $12510368%-$138
$125 to $2.5K10278%+$974

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis30672%-$2.3K
College football1542%+$3.1K
Baseball2473%-$437
Parlays1717%+$106
Mentions260%-$240
Soccer667%+$36

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied 904NOLEY

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$111
Profit
on $15300 staked
121-32
Record
79% win rate
-1%
Return
9 still open
Profit over time153 settled trades
+$811-$476
Sep 7Sep 28
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
153% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.97×
Profit factor
$3.1K won vs $3.2K lost
+4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
79% won at 75¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
87 trades

By category

sports148 settled+0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

9 open positions worth $374

The markets 904NOLEY is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 904NOLEY is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Virginia Tech wins
Oct 3
Yes1¢$666-$666
Pittsburgh wins
Oct 3, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 83¢$3.3KExited
Pittsburgh wins
Oct 3
Yes18¢$801+$3.7K
See every position across 104 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Pittsburgh wins
    $801 on Yes at 18¢, Oct 3
    +$3.7K
  2. 2
    yes University at Albany,yes Appalachian St.,yes Texas A&M,yes Rhode Island,yes Michigan,yes Kansas St.
    $95 on Yes at 19¢, Sep 12
    +$401
  3. 3
    Ben Shelton wins
    $1.0K on Yes at 73¢, Sep 11
    +$370
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Pittsburgh wins18¢4100%+$3.7K
Will Nuno Borges win the Arnaldi vs Borges: Quarterfinal match?50¢180%-$915
Will Matteo Arnaldi win the Arnaldi vs Borges: Quarterfinal match?93¢4100%+$130
yes Juan Manuel Cerundolo,yes Adolfo Daniel Vallejo,yes Terence Atmane,yes Denis Shapovalov,yes Juncheng Shang,yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Michael Zheng,yes Coleman Wong4¢20%-$92
Will Adrian Arcon win the Bax vs Arcon: Round Of 32 match?9¢40%-$188

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 6Oct 3

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$125
May 2026-$2.2K
Sep 2026-$188
Oct 2026+$3.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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