Stats as of
ar7865
+$2.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,003
- First Seen
- Sep 27, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 34% won · 160 settled · +$2.4K
ar7865 is a Kalshi trader with 1,003 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 87 wins and 715 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 11%
- Return on settled
- +222%
- Money traded
- $7.4K
- Typical trade
- $0
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,282
Profit over time
+$2.3K-$17
Sep 27Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9015%10%+6 pts
20 to 40¢3528%33%+6 pts
40 to 60¢3146%100%+54 pts
60 to 80¢1272%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢2491%67%-24 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $025111%+$15
$0 to $02518%+$129
$0 to $12518%+$365
$1 to $1.3K25018%+$1.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin20034%+$2.4K
Ethereum2548%+$43
Other crypto4112%-$203
Tennis1060%+$96
XRP753%-$13
Solana530%-$6
Side taken
Yes 47%53% No
If you had copied ar7865
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$276417
Profit
on $80200 staked
87-715
Record
11% win rate
+345%
Return
124 still open
+$276.4K-$10.1K
Sep 21Sep 28
-$22.0K
Max drawdown
287% below peak
12.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.87×
Profit factor
$347.9K won vs $71.5K lost
+5.6 pts
Edge vs implied
11% won at 5¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 195
- Deepest drawdown
- 355 trades
By category
crypto797 settled+346%
sports5 settled+203%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
19 open positions worth $184
The markets ar7865 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$23 on No at 2¢, Oct 4
- 2+$757BTC price up in next 15 mins?$23 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 4
- 3+$192BTC price up in next 15 mins?$6 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?3¢20034%+$2.4K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?5¢2548%+$43
XRP price up in next 15 mins?7¢753%-$13
Alec Deckers wins21¢3100%+$89
HYPE price up in next 15 mins?4¢1000%-$93
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$129
Oct 2026+$2.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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