Stats as of
arbitrary.lobster2749
+$27
- Tracked Trades
- 421
- First Seen
- Jun 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 17% won · 42 settled · +$135
arbitrary.lobster2749 is a Kalshi trader with 421 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 7 wins and 45 losses on settled markets, $27 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F76WQSOHMA5HZAWO-2FW3B5GXV on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 13%
- Return on settled
- +3%
- Money traded
- $16.6K
- Typical trade
- $14
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,535
Profit over time
+$186-$204
Jul 4Oct 11
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3715%7%+2 pts
20 to 40¢1328%60%+32 pts
40 to 60¢550%25%-25 pts
60 to 80¢774%
Over 80¢2594%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $91060%-$67
$9 to $1410522%+$13
$14 to $1910517%+$134
$19 to $1.0K10518%-$52
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays41116%+$112
Bitcoin50%-$8
College football10%-$29
Tennis10%-$19
Baseball20%-$19
Soccer10%-$10
Side taken
Yes 89%11% No
If you had copied arbitrary.lobster2749
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$830
Profit
on $5000 staked
7-43
Record
14% win rate
-17%
Return
280 still open
+$0-$1.3K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.81×
Profit factor
$3.5K won vs $4.3K lost
+1.9 pts
Edge vs implied
14% won at 12¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 48 trades
By category
sports47 settled-11%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
281 open positions worth $3.8K
The markets arbitrary.lobster2749 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F76WQSOHMA5HZAWO-2FW3B5GXV
Oct 14
yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes San Francisco,yes Carolina,yes Washington,yes New York R
Oct 11
yes Baltimore,yes DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points,yes DET Lions wins by over 3.5 points,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 6.5 points
Oct 11
Biggest wins
- 1+$284yes Arizona,yes Indiana,yes East Carolina,yes Bowling Green,yes Missouri,yes Wake Forest$33 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 10
- 2+$219yes Baltimore,yes DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points,yes DET Lions wins by over 3.5 points,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 6.5 points$19 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 11
- 3+$113yes Colorado,yes Toronto,yes Pittsburgh$48 on Yes at 30¢, Oct 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026781C2F981C9-F1CC099D4371+$0
yes Milwaukee,yes Baltimore,yes Kansas City,yes Cincinnati,yes Detroit,yes Arizona,yes Washington1¢2+$0
yes Arizona,yes Houston,yes Green Bay,yes Jacksonville,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,no LA Rams wins by over 9.5 points3¢2+$0
yes Kansas City,yes Miami,yes Toronto,yes Chicago WS,yes Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs3¢2+$0
yes Chicago WS,yes Chicago C,yes Washington,yes Arizona,yes Seattle,yes Los Angeles A2¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$28
Sep 2026-$176
Oct 2026+$231
Kalshi leaderboards
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