Stats as of
Aristaeus
aristaeus
+$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 639
- First Seen
- Dec 8, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 3, 2026
- Best In College football
- 81% won · 110 settled · +$1.3K
Aristaeus is a Kalshi trader with 639 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 294 wins and 137 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT03ALAMSST-ALA on Oct 3.
- Win rate
- 68%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $29.0K
- Typical trade
- $2
- Avg entry
- 89¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,787
Profit over time
+$1.5K-$15
Dec 8Oct 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢458%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢8131%25%-6 pts
40 to 60¢10650%49%-1 pts
60 to 80¢13470%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢27393%94%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $116047%-$6
$1 to $216045%-$26
$2 to $1816082%+$8
$19 to $2.2K15994%+$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football11980%+$1.3K
Baseball8083%+$122
Bitcoin25566%+$17
College basketball2250%-$13
Soccer4664%+$27
NFL1263%+$15
Side taken
Yes 77%23% No
If you had copied Aristaeus
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1379
Profit
on $28500 staked
207-78
Record
73% win rate
-5%
Return
63 still open
+$602-$1.6K
Jul 13Sep 28
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
318% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.82×
Profit factor
$6.4K won vs $7.8K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
73% won at 73¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 128 trades
By category
crypto132 settled-5%
sports149 settled-6%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
53 open positions worth $1.6K
The markets Aristaeus is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT03ALAMSST-ALA
Oct 3, 4 fills
Miami (FL) wins
Oct 1
Kentucky wins
Oct 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$334KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT03ALAMSST-ALA$2.7K on Yes at 89¢, Oct 3
- 2+$317Alabama wins$2.0K on Yes at 86¢, Sep 12
- 3+$110Alabama wins$538 on Yes at 83¢, Sep 26
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Alabama wins91¢21100%+$610
BTC price up in next 15 mins?91¢25466%+$17
KXNCAAFGAME-26OCT03ALAMSST-ALA89¢2100%+$334
Tennessee wins98¢11100%+$55
Miami (FL) wins95¢2100%+$54
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 6Oct 3
Profit by month
Dec 2025+$12
Jan 2026+$40
Feb 2026+$11
Mar 2026-$3
Jun 2026+$22
Jul 2026+$38
Aug 2026+$112
Sep 2026+$894
Oct 2026+$364
Kalshi leaderboards
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