Stats as of
arm.pain
+$617
- Tracked Trades
- 725
- First Seen
- Sep 15, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 7, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 73% won · 40 settled · +$710
arm.pain is a Kalshi trader with 725 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 66 wins and 50 losses on settled markets, $617 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Oct 7.
- Win rate
- 57%
- Return on settled
- +7%
- Money traded
- $16.1K
- Typical trade
- $2
- Avg entry
- 40¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,885
Profit over time
+$3.3K-$109
Sep 16Oct 7
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3369%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢14628%50%+22 pts
40 to 60¢10950%65%+15 pts
60 to 80¢7069%76%+7 pts
Over 80¢6490%79%-12 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $118232%-$1
$1 to $218145%+$3
$2 to $518154%+$1
$5 to $3.8K18173%+$614
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays32673%+$710
NFL17725%-$13
Tennis4438%-$71
NBA400%-$14
College football4643%-$16
Baseball26100%+$9
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied arm.pain
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1569
Profit
on $7600 staked
55-21
Record
72% win rate
+21%
Return
39 still open
+$1.6K-$129
Sep 7Oct 5
-$438
Max drawdown
103% below peak
3.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.75×
Profit factor
$3.7K won vs $2.1K lost
+12.4 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 60¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 20 trades
By category
crypto11 settled+66%
finance6 settled+33%
sports57 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
37 open positions worth $107
The markets arm.pain is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 7
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 7
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Oct 7
Biggest wins
- 1+$994yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$1.7K on Yes at 63¢, Oct 7
- 2+$508yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$1.2K on Yes at 70¢, Oct 7
- 3+$474yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points$804 on Yes at 63¢, Oct 7
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points65¢680%-$422
yes Target Price: $767.39,yes Target Price: $84,158.01,no Target Price: $6.62905,yes Target Price: $0.0900595,no Target Price: $3.14369,yes Target Price: $4.9670,yes Target Price: $118.3988,yes Target Price: $90.0942¢2100%+$332
no Target Price: $6.63012,no Target Price: $2,619.55,no Target Price: $4,134.31,yes Target Price: $3.14703,yes Target Price: $5.1096,no Target Price: $90.31,yes Target Price: $1,316.175158¢1100%+$249
yes Target Price: $766.55,yes Target Price: $84,078.57,yes Target Price: $6.62663,yes Target Price: $0.0897805,yes Target Price: $2,610.22,yes Target Price: $90.1799,yes Target Price: $3.14024,yes Target Price: $4.9379,yes Target Price: $118.0655,yes Target Price: $90.01,yes Target Price: $1.4629,yes Target Price: $1,314.500881¢1100%+$47
yes Target Price: $84,200.88,no Target Price: $6.63111,yes Target Price: $0.0902607,yes Target Price: $2,616.97,no Target Price: $4,136.91,yes Target Price: $5.0124,no Target Price: $60.723,yes Target Price: $118.6585,yes Target Price: $1,318.821796¢1100%+$7
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 10Oct 7
Profit by month
Sep 2025-$6
Oct 2025+$8
Nov 2025-$2
Dec 2025-$1
Jan 2026-$34
Feb 2026-$14
Sep 2026-$1
Oct 2026+$669
Kalshi leaderboards
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