Stats as of
ARMargiela
armargiela
+$74.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 229
- First Seen
- Jul 8, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 14% won · 64 settled · +$75.5K
ARMargiela is a Kalshi trader with 229 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 72 wins and 108 losses on settled markets, $74.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026431D32E32F3-91FF8A424E3 on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +17%
- Money traded
- $837.0K
- Typical trade
- $1.2K
- Avg entry
- 14¢
- Kalshi rank
- #17
Profit over time
+$188.6K-$23.8K
Jul 8Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11910%19%+8 pts
20 to 40¢2131%19%-12 pts
40 to 60¢446%67%+21 pts
60 to 80¢5471%51%-20 pts
Over 80¢3186%100%+14 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1135843%-$922
$113 to $1.2K5749%+$22.6K
$1.3K to $4.5K5731%-$797
$4.5K to $61K5735%+$54.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays10014%+$51.3K
Baseball12361%+$33.3K
Soccer10%-$6.7K
MMA40%-$1.5K
Golf10%-$1.5K
Side taken
Yes 73%27% No
If you had copied ARMargiela
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1721
Profit
on $12300 staked
41-82
Record
33% win rate
-14%
Return
11 still open
+$1.2K-$1.7K
Jul 13Sep 14
-$5.1K
Max drawdown
151% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$6.5K won vs $8.2K lost
-4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 38¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 81 trades
By category
other116 settled-9%
culture6 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
12 open positions worth $61.6K
The markets ARMargiela is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026431D32E32F3-91FF8A424E3
Sep 19
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20263BD036A0B4C-7FEAE83EA18
Sep 17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026E346939508A-9863D57CD7C
Sep 17
Biggest wins
- 1+$68.6Kno Boston wins by over 2.5 runs,yes Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs,no Kansas City wins by over 1.5 runs,no Arizona wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 5.5 runs scored$6.2K on Yes at 8¢, Aug 6
- 2+$59.6Kyes Boston,yes Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs,no Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored$7.1K on Yes at 11¢, Aug 15
- 3+$42.5Kyes Detroit wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 14.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored$14.3K on Yes at 25¢, Aug 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Atlanta,yes Cleveland wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 12.5 runs scored16¢20%-$8.4K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026D4A593968E4-FF2A1CD68051+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026A211A571C4D-06048156AEA1+$0
yes Atlanta wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored14¢20%-$7.4K
yes Los Angeles D,yes Boston wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Houston wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 4.5 runs scored7¢20%-$2.2K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$8.0K
Aug 2026+$110.6K
Sep 2026-$43.7K
Kalshi leaderboards
Similar Kalshi traders
Build a bot that copies ARMargiela.
Bring ARMargiela into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.