rivomarkets

Stats as of

average.penguin9784

+$13.7K
Tracked Trades
1,032
First Seen
Sep 13, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In NFL
46% won · 386 settled · +$11.6K

average.penguin9784 is a Kalshi trader with 1,032 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 349 wins and 485 losses on settled markets, $13.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Middle Tennessee wins by over 1.5 points on Oct 14.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$125.5K
Typical trade
$50
Avg entry
20¢
Kalshi rank
#475

Profit over time

+$15.0K-$502
Sep 13Oct 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2637%7%-1 pts
20 to 40¢12927%33%+6 pts
40 to 60¢56750%55%+4 pts
60 to 80¢4766%86%+20 pts
Over 80¢2690%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1025846%+$2
$10 to $5025834%+$463
$51 to $17025838%+$3.4K
$172 to $1.1K25849%+$9.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL44646%+$12.1K
College football42447%-$3.1K
Parlays8118%+$4.7K
Golf5320%+$811
Hockey1833%-$240
Tennis20%-$288

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied average.penguin9784

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$6618
Profit
on $83400 staked
349-485
Record
42% win rate
+8%
Return
55 still open
Profit over time834 settled trades
+$13.2K+$0
Sep 7Oct 12
-$9.6K
Max drawdown
66% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.14×
Profit factor
$55.1K won vs $48.5K lost
+3.8 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 38¢ avg
Longest losing streak
25
Deepest drawdown
323 trades

By category

sports832 settled+8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

23 open positions worth $2.7K

The markets average.penguin9784 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what average.penguin9784 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Middle Tennessee wins by over 1.5 points
Oct 14
Yes50¢$593+$593
Baltimore wins
Oct 12
Sold Nosold 62¢$225Exited
Baltimore wins
Oct 12
Yes13¢$47+$315
See every position across 375 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Patrick Mahomes: 1st Touchdown
    $140 on Yes at 3¢, Sep 14
    +$4.5K
  2. 2
    no CIN Bengals wins by over 7.5 points,no NY Jets wins by over 7.5 points,yes HOU Texans wins by over 2.5 points,yes MIN Vikings wins by over 2.5 points
    $376 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 11
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    yes Josh Allen: 225+,yes Dalton Kincaid: 4+,yes Dalton Kincaid: 40+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 100+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Buffalo over 28.5 points scored
    $94 on Yes at 3¢, Sep 17
    +$2.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Denver wins34¢2479%+$4.2K
Nebraska wins by over 27.5 points55¢160%-$1.7K
Minnesota wins40¢2596%+$1.8K
Los Angeles R wins by over 20.5 points?36¢70%-$509
ATL Falcons wins by over 6.5 points?49¢2100%+$904

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$11.0K
Oct 2026+$2.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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