Stats as of
beard.gas
-$318
- Tracked Trades
- 86
- First Seen
- Jan 30, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
beard.gas is a Kalshi trader with 86 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 2 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, -$318 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Josh Downs: 1+ touchdowns on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- -85%
- Money traded
- $3.4K
- Typical trade
- $20
- Avg entry
- 31¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,695
Profit over time
+$0-$318
Mar 3Oct 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢256%
20 to 40¢1133%0%-33 pts
40 to 60¢1149%0%-49 pts
60 to 80¢1171%
Over 80¢2886%40%-46 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5220%-$2
$5 to $2022100%+$5
$21 to $502150%-$21
$58 to $321210%-$300
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin7725%-$294
NFL40%-$24
Other crypto1+$0
Weather1+$0
XRP1+$0
Basketball10%-$1
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied beard.gas
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$267
Profit
on $500 staked
2-3
Record
40% win rate
-53%
Return
1 still open
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $24
The markets beard.gas is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Josh Downs: 1+ touchdowns
Oct 4, 3 fills
Josh Downs: 1+ touchdowns
Oct 4
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 4
Biggest wins
- 1+$5BTC price up in next 15 mins?$20 on Yes at 80¢, Oct 4
- 2+$2BTC price up in next 15 mins?$30 on Yes at 92¢, Oct 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?27¢5425%-$294
Bitcoin price on Jan 30, 2026?75¢8+$0
Bitcoin price on Jan 29, 2026?86¢4+$0
Bitcoin price on Feb 6, 2026?60¢5+$0
Josh Downs: 1+ touchdowns36¢40%-$24
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$243
Oct 2026-$76
Kalshi leaderboards
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