rivomarkets

Stats as of

bigfatguy

+$4.0K
Tracked Trades
422
First Seen
Nov 5, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In NBA
34% won · 41 settled · +$4.7K

bigfatguy is a Kalshi trader with 422 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 47 wins and 46 losses on settled markets, $4.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNFLCOTY-27-JMIN on Oct 12.

Win rate
51%
Return on settled
+20%
Money traded
$76.1K
Typical trade
$22
Avg entry
26¢
Kalshi rank
#941

Profit over time

+$4.9K-$876
Nov 5Sep 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1018%0%-8 pts
20 to 40¢7027%80%+53 pts
40 to 60¢12149%57%+8 pts
60 to 80¢5467%20%-47 pts
Over 80¢7689%50%-39 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $610658%+$81
$6 to $2210659%+$297
$22 to $11010538%+$245
$117 to $5.2K10550%+$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NBA13633%+$2.9K
NFL21765%+$1.3K
US elections3785%+$546
WNBA17+$0
Golf80%-$702
Baseball1+$0

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied bigfatguy

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$212
Profit
on $500 staked
4-1
Record
80% win rate
+42%
Return
62 still open
Profit over time5 settled trades
+$212+$0
Aug 24Oct 12

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 5 so far.

By category

sports5 settled+42%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

15 open positions worth $10.9K

The markets bigfatguy is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bigfatguy is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the New York J pro football team win at least 7 games this season?
Sep 7, 3 fills
No63¢sold 63¢$0Exited
George Holani: 1+ touchdowns
Sep 6
Yes31¢$214-$214
Rhamondre Stevenson: 50+ rushing yards
Sep 6, 3 fills
Yes55¢$593+$485
See every position across 89 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Championship?
    $689 on Yes at 20¢, Feb 14
    +$2.8K
  2. 2
    Who will win Rookie of the Year?
    $2.1K on Yes at 46¢, Apr 15
    +$2.5K
  3. 3
    Pro Football NFC Championship Winner?
    $494 on Yes at 26¢, Jan 1
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Arizona be the closest state in the Presidential election?6¢6+$0
Orlando vs Detroit 2026 1st Round series winner?83¢1100%+$1.1K
Full Game: Over 179.5 points scored49¢1+$0
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points?51¢20+$0
Will Trevor Lawrence win the MVP?28¢11+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Nov 2024+$816
Jun 2025-$270
Sep 2025-$505
Dec 2025-$917
Jan 2026+$930
Feb 2026+$2.7K
Apr 2026+$1.8K
May 2026-$141
Jul 2026-$1.8K
Aug 2026+$1.0K
Sep 2026+$272

Kalshi leaderboards

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