rivomarkets

Stats as of

bigwil

+$8.2K
Tracked Trades
391
First Seen
Dec 9, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 12, 2026
Best In Parlays
40% won · 68 settled · +$3.2K

bigwil is a Kalshi trader with 391 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 99 wins and 218 losses on settled markets, $8.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026764E914B853-BE92447431C on Oct 12.

Win rate
31%
Return on settled
+26%
Money traded
$41.1K
Typical trade
$15
Avg entry
15¢
Kalshi rank
#1,125

Profit over time

+$10.1K-$204
Dec 9Oct 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1325%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢12030%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢7347%43%-4 pts
60 to 80¢3767%88%+21 pts
Over 80¢2990%89%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $29815%-$38
$2 to $159822%-$258
$15 to $939833%+$669
$93 to $1.7K9755%+$7.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays7242%+$6.5K
NBA4873%+$1.4K
NFL3733%+$1.2K
College football1217%-$863
Other crypto10827%-$449
Bitcoin526%+$204

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied bigwil

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$9699
Profit
on $26400 staked
68-196
Record
26% win rate
-37%
Return
Profit over time264 settled trades
+$0-$9.7K
Sep 7Oct 12
-$11.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.51×
Profit factor
$9.9K won vs $19.6K lost
-3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 29¢ avg
Longest losing streak
49
Deepest drawdown
250 trades

By category

other12 settled+56%
sports62 settled-4%
crypto173 settled-52%
finance17 settled-64%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026764E914B853-BE92447431C
Oct 12
Yes33¢$955-$955
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026066DC03D0F2-A0AE4FC31B6
Oct 12
Yes67¢$977-$977
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202690AEE637C79-23A4C626575
Oct 12
Yes81¢$967+$231
See every position across 99 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202644DCA16A803-15C90AE2AC7
    $949 on Yes at 23¢, Oct 3
    +$3.2K
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F2A09BF5550-87F86CC612E
    $965 on Yes at 48¢, Oct 9
    +$1.0K
  3. 3
    Venados wins
    $712 on Yes at 43¢, Oct 3
    +$944
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
HYPE price up in next 15 mins?37¢10827%-$449
yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+,yes Nico Collins: 1+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 1+,yes George Kittle: 1+1¢20%-$23
Baltimore at Green Bay Winner?74¢6100%+$408
LSU at Houston Winner?42¢50%-$721
yes Trey McBride: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+,yes Nico Collins: 1+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 1+3¢20%-$33

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 15Oct 12

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$203
Jan 2026-$318
Mar 2026-$90
Apr 2026+$360
Jun 2026+$738
Sep 2026+$511
Oct 2026+$6.8K

Kalshi leaderboards

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