Stats as of
billionman
+$96
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Aug 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 4, 2026
- Best In College football
- 60% won · 43 settled · +$492
billionman is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 126 wins and 279 losses on settled markets, $96 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026032650073D8-14CE1DD65BF on Oct 4.
- Win rate
- 31%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $43.1K
- Typical trade
- $13
- Avg entry
- 4¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,330
Profit over time
+$376-$1.3K
Aug 14Oct 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3484%3%-1 pts
20 to 40¢11630%22%-8 pts
40 to 60¢27349%51%+1 pts
60 to 80¢11367%82%+15 pts
Over 80¢15089%84%-5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $525015%-$220
$5 to $1325030%-$372
$13 to $2925035%+$97
$29 to $2.1K25056%+$591
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3876%-$210
College football9960%+$492
Baseball13147%+$270
Tennis11052%-$37
Bitcoin5450%-$339
WNBA6461%+$71
Side taken
Yes 69%31% No
If you had copied billionman
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$12128
Profit
on $40500 staked
126-279
Record
31% win rate
-30%
Return
266 still open
+$0-$12.1K
Aug 10Sep 28
-$12.6K
Max drawdown
2580% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$15.8K won vs $27.9K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 30¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 35
- Deepest drawdown
- 396 trades
By category
crypto14 settled-3%
sports384 settled-31%
culture5 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
188 open positions worth $6.7K
The markets billionman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026032650073D8-14CE1DD65BF
Oct 4
yes Army,yes BYU,yes South Carolina
Oct 3
yes Alexander Hernandez,yes Payton Talbott,yes Ateba Gautier,yes Esteban Ribovics,yes Eric Nolan,yes Marcus McGhee,yes Damian Pinas,yes Imanol Rodriguez Pillado,yes Natalia Silva,yes Jacobe Smith,yes Ismail Naurdiev,yes Johnny Walker,yes Roberto Soldic,yes Anthony Wint
Oct 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$436yes Matisse Bobichon,yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Borna Gojo,yes Pavel Lagutin,yes Oriol Roca Batalla,yes Luka Mikrut,yes Bernard Tomic$28 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 15
- 2+$373yes Kenta Miyoshi (b. 2004),yes Pavel Lagutin,yes Daniel Masur,yes Lloyd Harris,yes Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez,yes Max Schoenhaus,yes James Kent Trotter$47 on Yes at 11¢, Sep 14
- 3+$370Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?$130 on Yes at 26¢, Sep 13
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on Aug 19, 2026?72¢310%-$367
yes Reg Time: Sheffield United,yes Zamalek,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Lugano,yes Sparta Prague,yes Leverkusen,yes Olympiacos,yes Stade Rennais2¢2+$0
yes SSG Landers,yes Lotte Giants,yes KT Wiz,yes NC Dinos,yes LG Twins,yes Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters,yes Fukuoka Hawks2¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026032650073D8-14CE1DD65BF1+$0
Indiana St. wins51¢650%-$10
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 7Oct 4
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$747
Sep 2026+$966
Oct 2026-$123
Kalshi leaderboards
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