Stats as of
bow.peak
+$127
- Tracked Trades
- 686
- First Seen
- Aug 11, 2022
- Last Trade
- Oct 5, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 88% won · 33 settled · +$478
bow.peak is a Kalshi trader with 686 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 20 losses on settled markets, $127 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 5.
- Win rate
- 62%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $82.4K
- Typical trade
- $20
- Avg entry
- 60¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,284
Profit over time
+$127-$169
May 9Oct 5
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7112%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢8929%33%+4 pts
40 to 60¢14352%0%-52 pts
60 to 80¢25471%90%+19 pts
Over 80¢12990%100%+10 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $417235%-$6
$4 to $2017260%-$16
$20 to $8117179%+$36
$81 to $4.4K17183%+$114
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin40678%+$317
Fed and rates34+$0
World politics748%-$232
US elections29+$0
Economic data70+$0
Commodities37+$0
Side taken
Yes 62%38% No
If you had copied bow.peak
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$884
Profit
on $4900 staked
30-19
Record
61% win rate
-18%
Return
38 still open
+$0-$1.6K
Aug 3Oct 5
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
3822% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.53×
Profit factor
$1.0K won vs $1.9K lost
+5.5 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 56¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 34 trades
By category
crypto37 settled+6%
politics12 settled-91%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
1 open position worth $213
The markets bow.peak is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5, 7 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 5, 4 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$190BTC price up in next 15 mins?$310 on Yes at 62¢, Sep 21
- 2+$76BTC price up in next 15 mins?$785 on No at 91¢, Aug 5
- 3+$59BTC price up in next 15 mins?$137 on No at 70¢, Sep 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?69¢40678%+$317
Will the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's September meeting?61¢18+$0
Who will win the next presidential election?62¢20+$0
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026?49¢48+$0
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before November 1, 2026?85¢9+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 8Oct 5
Profit by month
May 2026+$42
Aug 2026-$200
Sep 2026+$278
Oct 2026+$7
Kalshi leaderboards
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